Meatyorologist

Gorgeous. A bit excited for this one now.

That BEARD is LEGENDARY

Andrew's pic is giving this

#plaidgang

I saw that notification for you liking my post and I nearly had an aneurysm

That whole pattern looks real nice. Chilly overall but with lots of sun. Comfortable during the afternoon and a frozen wonderland at night.

Not his first time. I once did it as well, while very inebriated at a friend's place.

You are going to see a lot of snow early next week.

Oregon gets bodyslammed by that airmass. Sea level snow and sub-516's midday Tuesday. Up 'round the Needle, the airmass is a smidge shallower, so no sexy 516dm contours to hide in, but the PSCZ takes advantage of a kooler kolumn nonetheless..

Yeah one sec, just gotta move a few things around in that area

eye caun!

Drizzle always finds a way to follow Tim around. If only all of us could be so lucky!

Pure maritime advection down to sub 516dm 1000-500mb thickness in Seattle on the 00z GFS. That is some solid stuff.

Thanks for doing what I should have done a month ago.

Rare W

That's kind of part of it too.. There is a distinct downward trend in temps away from climo with time, something you wouldn't expect without a pattern change. That, along with daily averages increasing now, makes it even more noteworthy. From my eye though it looks like dry NW flow/maritime, not an Arctic snap.

12z almost comes

I mean it's a smoothed ensemble mean, not sure what else you'd expect lol. And the temps after the 8th are more akin to late Dec climo... Pretty much 3-6F below normal across the board. Pretty strong signal.

The calendar flips to February and KSEA automatically begins to eke out 32F mins. Classic. Won't happen again tonight, barring something magical, but that makes 5 straight, including a 24F thrown in there. Also a neat tidbit, the largest daily departure relative to normal for Jan 2023 was, despite the brazen torching of almost the entire month, actually in the negative direction; a solid -11.9F anomaly on 1/30 with a 39/24 spread. I'm definitely just grasping for soggy, drenched, half thawed straws to build this little hill of optimism of mine, but it helps me sleep at night.

I think them not moving to Maine has a lot to do with that in the first place..

Bold of you to assume the Niña did any of the summer schenanigans.

Late February is kind of goated, a relatively untapped time of year. The airmasses are still quite decent but a lot needs to go right to stay below freezing all day given the higher sun angles. 1956, 1990, and 2011 are the best examples (even 2022 was pretty cold despite being so dry. What I'm saying is that it's climatologically feasible for a 26/15 type day if all were to go right, albeit quite defficult. But if it were to happen, records would be shattered.

Given the currently raging -PAC (Phil and CFS), I'd say we're looking pretty spot on for a major late season blast come mid-late February. In all seriousness with -ENSO/+QBO and some MJO schenanigans, it won't take too much to bring in a decent Arctic airmass, Hudson Bay be damned.

Got a light snow going in North Seattle! Basically a flurry. 30F.