Jump to content

GobBluth

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1299

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by GobBluth

  1. GobBluth
    18z rug pull!
  2. GobBluth
    GFS gone away from a torching in the day 10 range. Likely see a lot of model confusion in coming days as the western Pacific tropics get active.
  3. GobBluth
    It's way off on it's own compared to the ensembles..
  4. GobBluth
    The inability of the SW monsoon to activate a side effect of a retracted 4CH?
  5. GobBluth
    Uh oh
  6. GobBluth
    Dear Casey...
  7. GobBluth
    I'd have to check prior Ninos but isn't there a history of decent arctic blasts into the NW before the end of the year?
  8. GobBluth
    The moderation of the torch next weekend on the morning models is beautiful.
  9. GobBluth
    18z gfs jumped into the weekend heat party.
  10. GobBluth
    That line between "much above normal" and "record driest" through SW Arizona is crazy. Some sort of drought region split there?
  11. GobBluth
    We're in a look at the bright side mode, but while temps are in the upper 90s the models still want to drop the lows back into 50s at night in the suburbs...
  12. GobBluth
    From this mornings AFD. It's a huge difference from just a decade ago when heat events were reliant on the placement of the thermal low and decent offshore flow. Onshore flow is expected to continue through the forecast period with periods of breezy northwesterly winds with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon and evening hours. These winds could exacerbate fire weather concerns, especially with holiday activities, though the overall pattern does not suggest high fire weather concerns. Those spending time outdoors should practice heat safety as well as fire safety. -HEC
  13. GobBluth
    Summer torch recommences on the 06z around July 2nd
  14. GobBluth
    When's the last time the continent had a July like that?
  15. GobBluth
    Sometimes it seems like the NWS is making forecasting too hard. Like why bother mentioning the possibility of hitting 100? Current NBM deterministic guidance shows around 90 degrees for the interior valley, while the 50th percentile has low to mid 90s for Tuesday. NBM also continues to slightly back away from temperatures above 100 degrees. Currently there is around 10 percent chance of 100F at PDX, and 5 percent at KEUG for example. Temperatures cool slightly to the mid 80s to low 90s for Wednesday. Does not look like record breaking temperatures, though could be if the more extreme forecast comes verifies.
  16. GobBluth
    Impressively suppressed ridging on both the GFS and CMC long term.
  17. GobBluth
    A legitimate northwest rainstorm to saturate the ground before the next 6 weeks of dryness wouldn't be a bad thing.
  18. GobBluth
    The California anomaly is wild when they're just now heading into an El Nino.
  19. GobBluth
    That's a wild circulation. Flash flood watch makes sense when something fires up directly under the low and barely moves.
  20. GobBluth
    Portland NWS lowered their criteria for excessive heat.
  21. GobBluth
    12z continues the trend of reduced 850s and the ridge center slightly further east.
  22. GobBluth
    GFS looks a lot different with ridge and cut off low strength into Monday.
  23. GobBluth
    Stayed sleet in Beaverton all night, but back to calm winds and we've jumped to 23.
  24. GobBluth
    How does that work when 850s never drop below 0?
  25. GobBluth
    With snow cover and clear skies.
×
×
  • Create New...