MIKEKC

No worries, Clinton, I'm going to reel this one in for us. The south trend is going to be real on tonight's data!!!

KC riding the edge with this storm....maybe/maybe not! 4-5 inches of snow on the data just 50 miles away...I think at least 1-2 inches is doable in KC.

Speaking with Lezak this morning, he said if the ULL is strong, it likely cuts harder and KC gets dry slotted with little accumulation. Bigger snows will happen in NEB and Iowa...but, if it shears out, it will go SE more and favor KC to get accumulating snow, not a big storm, but a 1-3 inch snow in 20-22 degree air which will be quite the change to all other snows at 32-33 this winter. So, here in KC, I guess I'm rooting for a weaker storm, I don't think I have ever wished for that. LOL

No way that storm is going north of KC. Heavy snow in KC Wednesday night through Thursday, this time, with actual winter temps in the 20's and not 33 and snowing. After that, another big snow around Feb. 20th-22nd and two more after that up to March 10th. KC is at 8.8 inches for the season and will end up with 25+ Big finish coming!! GO CHIEFS!!!

Clinton, I know 3.7 inches of snow was light as far as totals go, we had properties that we service in that area that had 4-5 inches on the pavement that we measured. NW of Interstate 35 had to turn over to snow a few hours earlier. Just this morning, I was in that area and they are still fully snow covered with rather large snow piles. The rest of the city lost a lot of their snow cover yesterday. Only if this same storm had 28 degrees to work with... I

NAM for the win in KC. HRRR too...the perfect commahead came over KC this morning. Very wet storm, but, temps once again were a problem. 3-4 inches of snow was common around KC, however, it snowed 6-8 inches easy between 1:00am and 7:30am. It just fell on a warm ground, compacted quickly, even on the grass....temps at 32-33. This would have been a foot of snow easy with yesterday's rain and the comma head early this morning had we had 25-28 degree air. The 4th 32-33 degree storm this winter. Now, the snow is almost gone in parts of the city as the 40+ degree sunshine is going to work on it. It was a beautiful winter scene very early today, lot of traffic problems and airports were closed for a few hours when he 1-2 inch/hr rates hit. Up next, a wild finish to FEB. with the potential of some much colder air the second half of the month with several storm coming out of the SW????We'll see...

Latest 18z HRRR...perfect track for KC. Has us at 35 degrees @ midnight tomorrow night, what if it's off by 2-3 degrees, this would be heavy snow rotating on us for 3-5 hours. OMG!!! Come on!!

WOW! Perfect track again for KC...this is #4 this winter with a perfect track, all have been rain events. Need to watch this, if it does get over to snow, it could puke snow for 4-5 hours at over 1"/hr. This model run of the RGEM does get it over to snow a few frames later, just imagine if it turns over sooner. NEVER GIVE UP ON a storm, just maybe we'll drop to 31-33 and puke snow for several hours tomorrow night and wake up to a winter wonderland Thursday morning.

Thundersnow on the 3kmNAM....???????

Come on NAM, let's pull this one out.

Can we get a perfect Track here in KC?? This is heavy snow!!

LOL...we appreciate you helping us out here in KC! Yikes, the GFS went to boring and warm on it's latest runs, the CMC is trending that way too. As Joe Laurie would say, our snow window is closing.

Looking at the data this morning, that is a potent artic smash job heading in tonight. Down to around 8-10 degrees in KC and -30 in Minnesota?? Aggressive

The EURO shows two storms it appears. One that hits Tuesday into Wednesday and the next one around the end of the week, but south of our area. In cycle 2, 50 days later would be next week. IF you look back on the threads, you will see we had a storm on Dec. 19th and the cold air poured in after that for the Dec. 22nd storm.(which was too progressive across the country's midsection) So, could we see the same two events next week similar to cycle 2 or will it come out as one big storm late in the week. Can we get the first one going so it can tug down some cold for the 2nd one heading into SB weekend??? EURO is kind of there on the idea of two separate storms Stay tuned! Come on, darn it!

Big dog in there, now, trend colder!!!!!!!!! One week out

That's awesome. IF you can get that big storm in the middle of winter like you did, a lot of the time it can change your area weather pattern due to the snow pack. Colder temps... Hopefully, with 7 weeks of winter left, we'll see some big storms to finish out the season. Last year I had a little over 5 inches of snow come Feb. 1st, I finished with over 20 inches of snow in my part of KC. Beautiful finish!!! Go snow!

12 days only? Aren't you near Grand Rapids? It has recorded a trace or more of snow on 34 different days since Dec. 1st. This includes 10 straight days of some snow to end Jan. Come next Thursday when you suggest the snow will be gone, will that be like 2-3 weeks you have had had snow on the ground in a row? Here down in KC, we would give anything for 5 straight days of snow cover let alone 2+ weeks of snow cover.

Haven't had this look all winter long, we have just not had the cold in place at the right time. I may not have this look this winter....at all. Man, that would be super depressing. Still holding out hope as we still have 7-8 weeks of winter. NEVER GIVE UP!! Glad you were able to score a nice winter stretch!!

Shooting the breeze with Lezak back in early Dec. he mentioned La Nina could fade late winter and we just might have a great finish if that did indeed happens. I so remember him saying that. Come on snow, don't finish around 4-5 inches in KC and surrounding areas, do what you did last winter, finish strong!! I think I ended up with average snowfall with only around 5 inches total come Feb. 1st 2022

The Feb. 1st storm for the central Plains ended up staying well south into Texas. Remember, this storm stranded truckers in the Dakotas for days on end...this go around, sunny skies there... Here in KC, 50 days ago in cycle two, KC received 1-1.5 inches of rain in the city, very wet storm. Here in cycle 3, we received ZERO! This is quite disappointing as this was one of our signature storms per the LRC for KC and we have cold air in place curenttly. Did the LRC fail us, IMO, yes and no. The storm is still there, right on time, but, in a much further south spot. Can this be predicted, I don't know. For me, I was expecting a huge storm here in KC FEB 1st., give or take a few days. Dec. 15th to Dec. 27th was the coldest stretch of winter weather here in KC. 12/13 days were below average and this time frame is due back in Feb. 3rd, this Friday. However, we are forecasted to have much above average temps starting this weekend through what appears to be all next week. The total opposite of the Dec. 15th-27th period. Following that, KC, starting on Dec. 28th, had 28+ straight days of above average temps and mainly rain storms in Jan. Storms? Cycle two: Dec. 19th we had a small accumulating snow here in KC with more off to the NE of here. Dec. 22nd, artic air poured in and KC received 1-2 inches of snow with more off to the east and northeast. Remember, this storm did not DIG!! it was way to progressive.. Dec. 25th, clipper system produced little in KC but did produce accumulating snow in the northern plains through Iowa and off to the east of KC. Jan. 2nd, another big rain storm in KC, snow off to the NW. So, Feb. 7th should see a smaller storm in the Plains, followed by a bigger storm 2-4 days after that and a big storm around Feb, 21st to match the Jan. 2nd storm. The 6z GFS at face value, shows all of the above in the extended.....BUT, it seems to warm of a pattern to be a good snowy stretch for most on here. It does get colder towards the famous "10 days away saying" on this run. Let's hope the data trends colder as I believe we do have a great chance of a stormy FEB in the Plains according to the LRC. Again, here in KC, between Feb. 10th and March 10th last winter, we had (4) good winter events. I'll take that again!!! It is still winter, you can still have hope now, you can't have hope in July as there is no chance of snow.

Beautiful cold air in place for KC...but, no precip.!! Just not our season. I still had a good snow week last week with the overnight snow on Saturday and then the midweek storm, both storms had snow fall at night and at 32-33 degrees. I had 3 days of snow cover last week. I guess it was as good as it might get this winter. We did have 4 accumulating snows after FEB 10th last winter and a big snow around Feb. 17th. (7-9 inches of snow around town) At least the Chiefs came through with a big win!

OMG....GFS shows spring time for KC after this weekend's cold blast. I usually don't go to happy hour until 4:00pm on Friday's, I just might start at lunch today.

50's to 20's late tomorrow in KC, how is there not a storm blowing up on us!!!! So close on the CMC and GFS to getting an enhanced band of snow/ice late tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Clinton looks like he may get into a band of snow to whiten the ground up. Need to keep an eye on that for some last minute changes... Next week's big storm, GONE!!!!! GARBAGE!!! Go Chiefs!!

The start of FEB and the entire month still very much up in the air... Dec. 12th through the 15th featured one of the biggest storms in this year's LRC. Come FEB. 1st-2nd, that would be 50 days from that.(this year's LRC cycle) So, the operational model runs are showing that storm burying itself way down in Mexico. I'm not sure I bye that quite yet. This storm was a monster back in Dec. Blizzard warnings in the northern Plains for 4 days!! KC had 1-1.5 inches of rain, a very wet storm! I buy a further south track this time of year, but not that far south. Next up would be the coast to coast arctic plunge and the pre Christmas storm due to cycle around FEB. 11th. Both these storms produced here in KC for both cycles, we're about to find out if cycle 3 is going to do the same thing. BTW, today will mark the first day that KC will have below average temps in 29 days. WOW!!

That GFS is trying to throw Clinton and me a little snow Saturday night with the strong push of cold air... the night before the Big Chiefs Victory! Very cold at the game it appears, maybe 12-14 degrees at game time.