ChiTownWeather

Haven't posted yet this year, just have been lurking. Thought I'd jump in on this storm. I was extremely surprised when I just went out to measure 2.5 inches IMBY. It has been snowing since 5 and moderate to heavy the past two hours. Considering 2 days ago the models had me getting nothing, this storm is an overachiever in my mind. I am in Southern lake county

I truly believe that your period (.) button does not work, am I correct? If it does, then the24weatherman you are the master at run on sentences. You have great insight, but it is often hard to understand when you don't add punctuation to your posts.

This clippers are always hit or miss, you'll win some and lose some. All you can do is watch radar. NE IL looks to be good for 2-4 in. If we get about 6 more of these clippers we could be the record , Although, I feel like the clipper trains should be coming to a halt as we near the end of winter.

The forum was pretty quiet today after the 12z runs haha. I think its more likely than not that we see a northward trend, its been very common this winter. Caplan and Skilling both made Facebook posts today about increased snow amounts. But looking at the last two runs of the GFS, there is a nice fetch coming off the lake and enhancing snow totals in adjacent counties

Been raining on and off throughout the day. I don't ever think I heard a thunderstorm and it was only heavy rain for a little while. Snowpack still looks deep although a lot has melted

@ 2:35 i measured 2.5 inches. Then an hour later @ 3:35 I had 4.2 inches. That makes 1.7 inches an hour! Within that hour I definitely had the heaviest snow this year, it was crazy, I could barely see 5 houses down.

LOT decreased there snow map for everywhere except SW. Before the entire area was in 6-8. I think that 3-6 is a good bet, pretty much what was being predicted yesterday afternoon

Thundersnow has been reported down by Champaign-Urbana!

I'd say around 2 inches here, but it looks like I have a couple more hours of snows. Radar returns out near Rockford coming my way. The snow seems like it is falling in slow motion because there is little wind and the fatty flakes get caught by the air coming down. Nice to see an event during the daytime as well.

This storm real turned out great for my area, always love the overachievers. 6 inches IMBY with some light snow and a lake effect band that may run through later this morning. The NAM nailed this storm being the only one even showing 6+ in the area. NAM deserves more recognition, its accuracy this season has been great

Good lake enhancement occurring from Kenosha to cook counties right now. Definitely looks like May have been my biggest storm since jan 4-5 one

surprised nobody has posted this graphic, ABC7 snowfall shows a donut hole of lesser amounts in southern metro, but higher totals toward the border... interesting

At 10:45 had 0.9 in. Hope to wake up to 4 inches tomorrow morning

speaking of ridiculous claims, ik what u mean as someone was saying this storm would be "an all out blizzard" about a week ago lol. That man has good optimism.

everyone's got their opinion, u just are on a forum full of enthusiasts. but this year we have had one of the best winters of LES making it a good wild card in this storm. You know how chicago winters are, you lived here, since LES is uncommon on this side of the lake, it can make a big difference

whats your location gosaints? how much you think lake side counties will get? out SW returns have increased and seem to be heading our way

I don't see why it would be, we already got a half an inch before, main event is expected to give 3-5, then another 1-3 on top of that with LES.

flurries just started, just enough to sprinkle the ground. Hoping we can get another 4 inch system, LES will be a big wild card.

I think most of the chicago viewers here have a good shot at 3-5 inches. 5 inches being lakeside and further south. The 00z NAM was showing good moisture, remember the NAM did a great job at predicting last storms underperformance within 24 hours.

SREFs are on the rise from 4.5 in. to 5.5 in the past two runs for ORD, but tbh a couple plumes a just bring up the average. This looks to be an advisory snow for chicago area, maybe with some lake effect to boost totals as well.

Radar picked up by me in Buffalo grove and am now getting moderate snow with large flakes. I think I can squeeze out another 1-2 because radar western IL, is filling in. If it can move more NE, I think a lot of us can see an inch or two more Looks like that blob that may have been coming our way will stay south of most of us, disappointing will measure when the snow is complete, likely around 4 inches

I know that there were ice problems down near St. Louis that caused a ship carrying salt to now transport the rest of the salt by truck up to Chicago area.

Just got a small coating so far, was snowing decently about 45 minutes ago. Radar does look nice with a beeline toward NE IL. I think we can throw out all other models except HI-RES now, just a nowcast event. Although RAP and HRRR hint at southerly trend, I'm not buying it. Overall most of the CWA should get 4-8 with isolated 10 in. Anything over 4 inches will please me as this winter just keep giving (starting to cause a major salt shortage with the mississippi frozen over)

What time should the flakes start falling? Looks like it may be coming in slowing according to RAP 03Z

Somewhere on the lines of a 20-30 mile north shift seems quite possible. Almost all of our storms this winter have had n/nw shifts, even within 24 hours. I can't remember any storms that have shifted south within the final days this winter. I don't think ratios will be in our favor, especially with a N shift. But I do think mixing will be a minor problem a peru to Joliet line. Its been nice to see this storm shape up after some model mayhem a couple days ago. Attached is Skiiling's post on his fb page: