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Everything posted by SilverFallsAndrew
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November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Perhaps I am remembering wrong, but in my mind 99% of it slid east and there was a tight N/S gradient which stopped at about Portland, ended up being a decent event Portland north, but was more of a low level cold situation...Maybe I am just remembering incorrectly. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The 18z is just more of a meandering mess... -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
In some ways this month has reminded me quite a bit of last December. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
It is safe to say Eugene has done much better in the past decade then the one that preceded it. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
That is my bearish outlook. Bullish would be predicting 19th century throwback winters during his 3rd and 4th terms! -
Wow.
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November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Phil...PV over NE Manitoba?! -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The FV3-GFS continues to be far more interesting than the operational. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
http://www.weather.gov/images/meg/graphicast/image2.png?44d7fa651c36d9fc839067cc469f1b4a -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Trump should probably be stepping down sometime around January 2025. Probably in the midst of an arctic blast. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
I imagine the models right now are what a lot of runs looked like during January 2001. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The players are big boyz, I am sure they will be able to handle whatever conditions they are faced with. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Are you going to the game? -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
I am grateful to have somehow managed near average precip in October. Things are not quite as dry here. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The ensembles are just awful. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Is there some reason this map has no context...As in a date/timestamp, etc... -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Hmmmmm only 384 hours away! -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
A total mess. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
I am noticing the dry November has been putting a dent in those massive precip anomalies in the N. Bend area. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
The models have completely gone to hell. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Yes, it was more of a commentary on the fact that the last 6+ months it has been very dry down here while Tim has received copious amounts of rain. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
November-January each average around 11" with December the wettest at 11.5". February and March come in with about 9" on average. So we get about 2/3 of our precip in those 5 months. October-April accounts for about 85% of our precip. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
Believe it or not it is actually raining here and not up there. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
So Silver Falls September stats came out and they had their first freeze on September 23rd, which is about right at the historical average and by far the earliest in the last decade. I think we hit 34 here that morning, so we had to wait until last week for our first freeze. Good to see they recorded one so early though. -
November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest
SilverFallsAndrew replied to Timmy Supercell's topic in West of the Rockies
2/25/1993. No recorded precip at TDS and 28/13. Late February and the first couple days of March were something else in 1993... https://climate.usu.edu/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USW00024219&year=1993&month=2&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0 https://climate.usu.edu/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USW00024219&year=1993&month=3&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0