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IbrChris

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Everything posted by IbrChris

  1. Show me where in Oregon has 8 months with a mean temp >= 10c AND warmest month mean temp >=22c. Brookings has 9 months >= 10c but no month >= 22c. Medford has 2 months >= 22c but only 7 months >= 10c. Ukiah, CA on the other hand meets both requirements.
  2. I don't think Andrew Breitbart would have supported Trump nor would he have taken Breitbart media in the direction Steve Bannon has.
  3. Looking at NWS MOS verification it really sh*t the bed in January. Hour 120 Max Temp MAE (00z run) Hour 120 Max Temp Bias (00z runs) Compare to last 12 months here: http://www.mdl.nws.noaa.gov/~verification/mos/index.php
  4. Fairly persistent low-grade cold pattern coming up (courtesy of a +EPO/GoA trough). Mean temp and departures for PDX based on the consensus forecast ensemble: 1-5 day period Mean: 42.9 F Departure: -3.1 F 6-10 day period Mean: 44.0 F Departure: -2.9 F 11-15 day period Mean: 44.2 F Departure: -3.5 F Departures based on the 1981-2010 normal mean temp for each period.
  5. I saw zero that month...so I'm sure March 2017 will perform similarly here.
  6. I think the effect of climate change on mean snow level in the Cascades is likely exaggerated. I expect both Stevens and Snoqualmie will be commercially viable in 2050 but there may be more of a feast and famine cycle where many winters either overperform (like this one) or underperform. The fact that the dominant snow pattern for both locations is onshore flow and the thermal inertia of the Pacific (airmasses arrive already moderated by the over-water trajectory) means that the Cascades resorts will out-live most in the central and southern Rockies at moderate base elevations (6,000-8,000').
  7. Good call and most global models have been calling for warm/+EPO until the flip in the last ~48 hours or so toward a much colder west and -EPO.
  8. This could end up being a snowy 7-10 days for a lot of people along the I-5 corridor....even taking an average of the models most folks would get 3-6"
  9. ...Daffodil Alert canceled... The Daffodil Alert for the Portland Metropolitan Area has been canceled. The model runs that prompted the Daffodil Alert have given way to colder guidance. A Daffodil Alert is issued when model guidance suggests temperatures may reach 60 degrees for the first time during the late winter/early spring. A Lowland Snow Bust Watch has been issued for Thursday evening through Saturday for elevations below 1000 feet.
  10. Can someone give me the weather conditions present when the ACA/Obamacare was passed?
  11. So, yeah, who else thinks the two for one deal on regulations is a good idea? Remove two old regulations, get one new regulation. Of course it needs plenty of oversight as regulations are not equal in cost or impact.
  12. Nah we need a crowd size/DC inaugural rain thread that will gradually grow to over 100 pages in length over the next 4 years
  13. Lol you'd think we were arguing over who was responsible for Kennedy's assassination.
  14. I've never understood why crowd size matters. Obama won DC with 92% of the popular vote. Trump might have managed 20%. The majority of attendees are probably living within about 3 hours of DC, ergo crowd size will be smaller regardless of national popularity (not saying Trump is anywhere as popular as Obama).
  15. Lol we've been arguing over "Facts" and "Alternate Facts", "Known Knowns", "Unknown Knowns", "Known Unknowns" and "Unknown Unknowns" (but some of us think we know) for some time.
  16. To be fair Trump did do a lot of crazy s**t in the last week...but if Scott Adams is correct the left can call his bluff safely and the final administration policy will be somewhere in the middle. The Persuasion Filter and the Hitler Filter, and the predictability of Trump. http://blog.dilbert.com/post/156532225711/the-persuasion-filter-and-immigration
  17. Can someone please bring me up to date on all the things Trump should be impeached for? I haven't been on here in a week or so. I figured lying about Inauguration crowd size and making anime illegal would qualify.
  18. Only off by 0.1 F considering data through Jan 29th. 33.1 predicted 33.2 actual as of Jan 29th. 33.6 final value assuming NWS forecast is correct today/tomorrow. No change as far as it being coldest month since Dec 1985 and coldest Jan since 1979.
  19. Well, more to the point they view Trump's policies as a rollback of the gains they've made in the last 30-40 years. Defunding Planned Parenthood is a major part because it's concrete and visible. If you ask them what rights they lost under Trump that they had under Obama, the answer is none.
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