Sleather

Pretty much of a bust down here in Plainfield, IL. My employer told everyone to work from home today but I think I'll just shovel the driveway and go to work. Not much more than 3-4 inches.

I had been planning one last backpacking trip to the Boundary Waters during the 1st week of Nov. The first week looks out.... Second week might be ok.... I've got good enough gear for the temps, but hate snowshoeing!

I was out at 5am for my hourly walk. Big under-performer for Plainfield, Il area. Maybe 2" at most. I doubt there will be much additional accumulation during the day. I don't even think it met advisory criteria here, let alone a warning.

GFS has been showing variants of this event for quite a while now. It changes in track and intensity but it's almost always been there. Leads me to believe there may be something to it - even this far out. We'll see. I suspect it will get too warm for Chicagoland to experience a big snow storm.

Hardly any snow in Plainfield - SW Chicagoland area. Maybe 1/2" or so. Glad I didn't put gas back into the snowblower.

What a bust! The thing just fell apart

Pretty hard core, coming back to Chi-town for a snowstorm!

At work in Lemont, Il it was snowing pretty hard and sticking - perhaps an inch or two on the ground. After driving southwest on I-55 home to Plainfield, IL, the temps had risen a degree or two and the ground wasn't covered at all.

LOT's AFD this morning notes both the uncertainty and magnitude of this system. I like the tongue-in-cheek humor "... somewhere between Wisconsin and Kentucky..." "AS HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE PAST COUPLE OF AFDS...MODELS TEND TO TREND NW WITH TIME AS THEY ATTEMPT TO RESOLVE STRONG CYCLONES LIKE THIS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CAN ALSO HAVE A TENDENCY TO BE TOO QUICK AND TOO AGGRESSIVE IN PHASING...AND THE MAGNITUDE OF PHASING OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCES IS KEY TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY. HAVE UPPED POPS TO CHANCE OVER SE HALF OF THE CWA AS A NOD TO THE JUMP TO THE NW IN THE 00Z GUIDANCE FROM GFS/ECMWF AND THEIR RESPECTIVE ENSEMBLES MEANS. ALSO WORTH NOTING THAT CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SOMEWHAT MEAGER COLD AIR MASS ON THE NORTHWEST FLANKS OF THIS SYSTEM WHICH COULD LEND ITSELF TO SOME P-TYPE ISSUES OR MORE OF A WET SNOW...BUT THAT IS PROBABLY GETTING TOO BOGGED DOWN IN DETAILS GIVEN THE DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. STILL A LOT OF TIME TO WATCH THIS SYSTEM AND IT DOES WARRANT ATTENTION BECAUSE IT DOES HAVE POTENTIAL TO BE LOADED WITH MOISTURE AND LAY DOWN A SWATH OF HEAVY WIND DRIVEN SNOW SOMEWHERE BETWEEN WISCONSIN AND KENTUCKY."

Not even in November. Our snows have been few and far between with maximum amounts per snowfall around 2-3 inches. This last Valentines event was our biggest event of the year. We might have gotten 3". My snowbunny kids are bummed.

Going to drain the gas out of the snowblower this weekend. Didn't use it once. Hardly even shoveled.

Yep, Chicagoland is out of it. It's a Michiana snow show.

Maybe an inch or two down around Joliet. Streets and driveways aren't covered. Yard still has grass showing.

Wow. Plumes for Joliet have risen from abt 5" to abt 9" in the last six hours. I'm skeptical.