TT-SEA

Copy it to your computer... then upload to youtube.

The radar looks exactly like the ECMWF showed... except the precip is not really reaching the ground up here. Still... it had the location nailed almost perfectly. Its the model to follow this weekend.

Just picked up my son at basketball practice... I saw a single snowflake on the way home. Updates coming as warranted!

How much do you have there now? The traffic cams are insane. No sign of pavement anywhere.

ECMWF is dry. Follow it over the NAM.

Definitely shifting north and east now.

Thanks again Jesse. I told you precisely what I did using the GFS MOS extended forecast... and then the GFS MOS changed. Glad to see you love attacking me though for no reason. You have blown many of these forecast contests as well. This seems so hollow and petty for you to act like this in the middle of a big event. One that we did not even know was coming until yesterday.

We do have dewpoints near zero... its a little dry.

Nobody saw this playing out like it did. Cold biases ruled though given how it has gone so far.

Kelso was dry... now it looks like North Dakota as well.

Interesting... you are well north of the precip band on the radar.

Also... the radar is becoming more active up here as well. It shows that Jim's location is actually about to see some flurries at least. My location might be soon to follow.

No... he will be thrilled that SEA is at 28 in the middle of the day. The lack of sun is the big difference between the 31 yesterday and the 28 today.

And the radar shows the real fun is just beginning. More than twoish now???

18Z GFS shows solid precip up here on Monday. Of course that is probably rain with an 850mb temp of 0C.

Clouds thickening here... first time today that I can't see the sun. Feels like it could snow a little now... HRRR and ECMWF might be right.

I would go with the ECMWF for the weekend. Its too close for it to be very wrong.

Not much. About what the GFS was showing for today. Saturday afternoon is dry... all of Sunday is dry as well. It tends to paint precip with a broad brush.

Yeah... they have had more sun up there.

I really don't feel that way at all. I love seeing their fun down there. I am not a big February and March snow fan as I have mentioned... but that is just my own personal feeling. I can still recognize how historic this is down there and I imagine its crazy fun for them. If this was December... I admit that I would be pretty depressed.

Good Lord. How many years has Eugene absolutely crushed my northern foothill location so badly?????

How many times in an arctic situation is the temperature 19 in Hillsboro and 31 in Bellingham during the middle of the day?

Yeah... it truly does suck down there. What a nightmare. I am sure everyone is wishing nothing happened at all... it would be better than this slop.

Yeah... nobody had blizzard conditions in Portland for Thursday. Total bust! This one turned out completely impossible to forecast.

Ohhh... and the HRRR shows the heaviest precip over Portland later this evening. Much heavier than right now.