Minny_Weather

This CMC solution actually seems realistic to me. The GFS is way too juiced.

Models are consistent in showing a strong SLP with major storm potential @ hr 240 in their respective runs.

Lol I love those types of runs.

I've been looking to start a January thread for a couple of days as I feel there's a bit to discuss as we head into the first weekend of January. I just went ahead and started it. https://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/25373-january-2024-observations-and-discussion/#comment-1231094

Let's be real: December was terrible for much of the Sub, while those in Nebraska did manage to score a white Christmas. Pretty bizarre. Nebraska had a white Christmas but MQT didn't. Looking to next month, ensembles are signalling something that we haven't seen all year: A pattern change to cooler. I've also been saying that we'll be entering a clipper pattern for a while now, and that still looks to be the case. One thing that I can pretty safely say is that I am not a fan at all of snow protections across MN, and this is one of the few things that ensembles, aside from an outlier or two, have been consistent on.

2/2021 had even brighter colors than that, it was just centered more south and west

Say it with me... BARNEY RAMPAGE!!! This is the EPS control in clown range so it means nothing at all, but god D**n it's been so long since I've seen a map like this lol

EPS showed something similar to this yesterday and then almost immediately killed it.

That's basically what I've gathered too. The only thing I think I know right now is in 2 weekends, temps are going to get close to normal and I'm going to enter a clipper-friendly pattern. After that, absolutely zero clue what is going to happen because there is zero run-to-run consistency on any of the ensembles. Only thing that seems off the table is a Barney rampage (haven't been able to say that all year so excuse me for finding an excuse to say it).

When he was president, I found his tweets embarrassing but overall I was willing to look past them as I actually liked what he was doing otherwise. This, though, is just completely unhinged and seriously makes me think that those claiming the 14th should be used against him based on mental insanity might actually have a point. I seriously hope the Republican party grows a pair and pulls for Haley, but his hardcore base is just simply too edgy.

And to all a good night!

Wow, that's actually one of the worst things I've ever seen come from any of the mainstream outlets.

Pretty major and unexpected ice storm unfolding in Eastern ND currently. Some areas could see up to .75" of ice accumulation.

1) Lol @ that account making a storm declaration post based off one model run. 2) I don't have much hope for this in your region. It's on the heel of 2 other lows in the same region, I think there's going to be a disappointing amount of dry air.

People are trying to find excuses to hate the new flag, it's so funny. It's a fine flag. Better than the boring a** original.

To be fair, I think we are going to enter a clipper pattern in a couple weeks and models tend to not pick those out until a few days before.

New weeklies are out! We are literally never going to have cold air over Canada

School was a b!tch. I'm finally settled into a career though, so if/when I do any more moving from here on out it will at least be within Minnesota.

Nice and heartfelt! Merry Christmas to you, too!

Lubbock was colder than MSP today.

It's an eclipse, not a storm.

Definitely looking like an ice storm at worst, rain storm at best for AXN. I'm actually glad I'm not gonna be home for this if this is how it's going to turn out.

GFS agreeing with NAM now on the whole ice storm thing

NAM pulling out the legit ice storm card for my place.

Been a while since I've been able to joke about how the NAM is the one model with "North" in its name.