Hawkeye

12z GFS is south. I may end up with an inch or two from this. I hate that it's from midnight to sunrise, though.

The NAM seems to be on its own. The timing looks to be mostly before sunrise, so yet another night snowfall.

It seems like it shouldn't be that difficult to get a single inch of snow during early Novermber. However, my records show that yesterday's half inch of snow in Cedar Rapids is the ONLY measurable snow we've had during the November 1-10 period over the last twelve years(I began keeping track in 2007).

Yeah, a lot of arctic cold with little to show for it.

Most of our half inch is gone already, despite the temp in the upper 20s.

That's the band the euro had moving through my area for several runs, but was totally wrong.

I picked up a half inch. Looking at the radar loop, it appears much of that fell in one burst around 6am. I was still sleeping, though.

I have two problems. First, there just haven't been many memorable snowfalls here. I've never measured a foot. Second, my memory sucks. Even thought I'm a weather geek, I just don't remember many events from long ago. It seems like many other weather geeks remember everything, as far back as their childhood. One obvious choice for memorable snowstorm is the Groundhog Day blizzard. The brunt just missed me to the southeast, but I received about 10 inches and of course got the strong wind. That was the worst driveway drifting I've ever experienced.

I'm only expecting a dusting here, maybe a tenth or two. I'm not going to bother waking up in the middle of the night to watch.

The 00z GFS has moved the Friday clipper sw, so the GEM and Euro are the only two models bringing snow through eastern Iowa.

We're still sitting at 33, by far the coldest day so far. As Bud just posted, the 12z euro remove any snow for our area from the first wave. The possible potent little clipper behind it is still a mystery. The euro and GFS still have it crossing my area, but other models don't... and the swath of snow is so narrrow, any one location can easily be missed.

The euro takes the main wave of snow south of my area, but then it has a clipper that lays down a narrow swath of snow nw-se through eastern Iowa.

I picked up 1.33" from this system. I never saw any downpours. It was basically 16 hours of mostly light to occasionally moderate rain. The models may have dropped the late-week snow system for Iowa, but the cold is still there. Today's 12z euro even extended the cold through day ten, showing nothing but 20s and 30s.

https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/michigan/precipitation-total-3h-in/20181104-1500z.html

The timing is not in eastern Iowa's favor. The precip arrives late afternoon after the temperature has risen well into the 30s.

12z Euro still has the snow-producing wave late in the week.

This system is no longer looking like much for Iowa... just light rain and some wind.

And highs in the 20s with wind on Friday... brrrr

Two models this morning have a snow event and very cold air in about a week. The euro has 6" of snow and a low temp of 6 here.

Now the model trend is take the low a bit farther east and delay the rev-up again. The FV3-GFS barely has any precip here and the euro just cut our precip quite a bit.

The models are all backing off the storm winding up in time to give too much to Iowa next week. However, it still looks cold following the system. Today's 12z euro has highs in the 20s and lows in the teens across Iowa for the first time by day 9/10. It may not pan out that cold, but this is coldest air on any euro run this season.

Today will be another very pleasant one, sunny and 60 degrees with a modest wind. It has been a cool pattern, but we've had several nice days.

Today is the last day to subscribe to Maue's weathermodels.com site and still get the lower price. I thought about it, but I guess I'll make do with the free stuff. Weathermodels.com and its companion site weather.us both have much of the same model data, including detailed euro data. Weathermodels.com just has Maue's pretty maps and nice interface. Also, weathermodels.com will be adding the 06z/18z euro data, while weather.us may not. Weather.us, however, does also have the new hourly euro data through 90 hours, which is nice.

It really doesn't look too exciting for the Nebraska/Iowa part of the region. Models have trended toward a fast wnw/nw flow in which several systems race through the area, but don't really pull in a lot of moisture or rev up until they get into the Ohio Valley/Great Lakes. The euro doesn't even show any sub-freezing low temps here through ten days... just cool days and meh nights, probably with plenty of cloud cover.

So far, the wind is gusting to the 49-53 mph range from Waterloo to the QC.