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Brian_in_Leavenworth

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Everything posted by Brian_in_Leavenworth

  1. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Looks like they also added the Euro weeklies for paid subscribers
  2. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    BTW, is it just me or did Pivotal change their color scheme?
  3. Brian_in_Leavenworth
  4. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    We've seen far worse meltdowns, so no need to apologize. And we get why, and this is the place to vent about it, within reason of course, and I think you were within reason.
  5. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    So Cliff actually said, if you cared to read it, that he doesn't make any predictions for major weather beyond 5 days because the skill of the models goes downhill rapidly. Fair enough. But he also said the chances for a snowstorm is increasingly doubtful. Not sure why, I get the uncertainty, but it makes me wonder if he just looks at the GFS. And that would be strange considering he has been so critical of the GFS.
  6. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    18Z Euro end of run
  7. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Will the AI models ever do ensembles? Since the initialization data isn't perfect, so maybe they would. I am also guessing someday with better satellites, we may have better data to input for initialization.
  8. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    3 or 4 days ago the models were pretty pedestrian. Somewhat cool, mountain snow, but nothing Arctic. And then they turned on a dime. So confusing.
  9. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Weren't last nights GEM ensembles quite a bit colder than the operational?
  10. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    850s
  11. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Welcome back. Here's the EPS, minus hour 360
  12. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    12z hour 96
  13. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Here is 18z Euro at the end
  14. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    December 1996 was not that bitterly cold, IIRC. North Sound had a white Christmas while central and south Sound did not, snow came after Christmas. I also distinctally remember in the week after Christmas the next storm (after the rest of Puget Sound got snow) was originally forecast to be rain. Then they made a big announcement on the TV news that they were changing the forecast to snow instead.
  15. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Considering there are not a lot of places up there that had thermometers then and now, that's a good bet. I also don't know if -48 was the true low. Did the thermometers back then have the capability of automatically recording both high and low temps without someone being there to check it at the actual time of the low temperature?
  16. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Late December 1968 was when Winthrop and Mazama set the all time cold temperature record for WA at -48
  17. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Cliff hasn't said yes or no. Last post was 24 hours ago, he expressed uncertainty.
  18. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Icon shows it getting cold, then by the end (hour 180), things are being shoved east. High pressure is approaching the coast and the trough goes east.
  19. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Not quite. He just said -27 degree temps are extremely unlikely.
  20. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Yeah I can't imagine Mazama and Winthrop not breaking the record considering how cold Spokane is
  21. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    No wonder, LOL.
  22. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Looks very similar to the operational
  23. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    Coldest temp ever recorded in WA is -48 This has -42 near Spokane. Close to the record
  24. Brian_in_Leavenworth
    If you were to draw the craziest, coldest, snowiest scenario possible, this would be it.
  25. Brian_in_Leavenworth
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