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westiztehbest

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Everything posted by westiztehbest

  1. Are we expecting the next solar minimum around 2019-22ish? Will be exciting to see how the climate behaves later this decade. On another note...looks like SOI has been mildly positive for the last few weeks, although the 30 day average is slightly Ninoish @ -4.3.
  2. The 20th seems to have been a day that the models have locked on to the last week or so.
  3. Looks like the newest Euro weeklies put us in the cold from 1/20 thru the end of the run (2/8).
  4. Decent thaw here the last couple days. Foggy and so forth. Only an inch or two remains. Looks like the CFS is locking on to a colder pattern later in the month (similar to last month). I see the end of the 00z shows a cooling as well.
  5. Getting some lovely powdery snow atm @ 22F. Will be interesting to see how much piles up today.
  6. I remember her! She was the nicest. Always helped me with my met hw.
  7. Long Term update... CFS shows the NW getting persistent cold around the 23rd of January last through mid February. Euro weeklies show the EPO & NAO dropping deeply negative by the 23rd of January. Big potential here.
  8. Got about an inch of fluffy snow this morning which has tapered to flurries. Currently 19F. Saturday night/Sunday's storm should drop 3-5" before changing to rain early Monday.
  9. Happy New Years my weather maniacs! I'll drink a shot of Patron for y'all. D**n I kinda miss summer... hahaha.
  10. The mildness (during the day) you're referring to is generally confined to the Western Basin. Last Saturday those areas in NW flow were rain-shadowed while the East Basin Rise saw 2-4" in snowfall. Much colder over here because of it. 7F currently. Def liking the 6z. Stays cold with snow chances throughout.
  11. I see the 00z GFS trended colder for this weekend. No thaw that the 12z runs where showing for Monday.
  12. Cold here thanks to the snowpack. Hoping this weekend we'll get some more snowfall before a mini thaw.
  13. After coming back from Victoria for Xmas...looks like there's a couple inches of snow on the ground here. Getting some light snow at the moment.
  14. I think most of us know that we are at a disadavantage from the start winter wise with +PDO/+ENSO/Solar. Like 2009/2010, snow was hard to come by here...even though we had a couple cold shots earlier that winter season. Im still interested to see where things go this winter but am not surprised at how things have gone thus far. My question is what may happen next year? Will solar drop off? Will the North Pacific remain warm near NA? Will ENSO fall back to neutral?
  15. On the bright side...the GEM is showing low after low spawn in the northern GoA and drop down the coast in a NW--->SE direction...showing multiple legit shots at snow.
  16. Trends have improved...each day that goes by will be fun to see how it unfolds. Ingredients are there...they just need to fall into place. It would be nice to have the ridge axis ~160 W to get a better shot at getting some snowfall. Regardless of cold...snowfall would be the most pleasing to forum junkies. Myself included. Only 1.1" has been measured this year. Pretty lame.
  17. Good stuff. Obviously we saw what happened in November with the massive low in the Bering Sea. Since the low described today is west...perhaps that will reflect in a slightly different outcome this time. Will be interesting to see what pans out.
  18. GFS showing substantial snowfall potential a few days after Xmas. Let's hope things stay consistent and move up in time as the next week goes by. Glad we have something to watch finally. The lack of snow here is noticeable. Got a quarter inch here yesterday - which seems to be a pattern this year with +PDO/+ENSO - total weak sauce.
  19. The 06z is cold and snowy from xmas thru the weekend for the mtns and basin. That verifies...driving to and back from Victoria is gonna be fun. CFS is back to cold once again (what a surprise):
  20. I noticed. I haven't been to enthused about watching models this week but tonights 00z run has me interested again. Tuesday/Thursday/Friday of next week look like decent shots at light snowfall. Beyond that...I'm feeling better about cold chances around Xmas considering the PNA looks to potentially return to 'normal' as opposed to remaining positive (see below). For a few days I dismissed the cold tendencies that were shown last week but now I'm thinking perhaps the models will come back around. We'll see of course.
  21. That CFS run with the northern hemisphere engulfed in blue is a beautiful sight.
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