BLI snowman

Looks like a decent chance for some supercells/tornadoes in the region this evening. Most folks probably prefer to take their winter warmth without a side of baseballs and mobile home debris raining down.

Looking like yet another winter without a significant south wind event here. They seem to fully be a thing of the past at this point.

73 in Chicago right now after a low of 55. Typical winter!!

Unfortunately this looks like a pretty different evolution from 1989 or 1960. A lot of close but no snow-gar on the Euro for most of us. Persistent 500-1000' snow levels. Similar to that stretch at this same time last year following the arctic airmass. I'd expect some spotty accumulations to continue in the lowlands but the high end potential requires much deeper offshore flow than what we're getting here.

Trump won IA by more in 2020 than he did in 2016, and lost NH by more in 2020 than he did in 2016. So from an electoral standpoint, I'm not sure that it matters as we become increasingly polarized and partisan as a nation, especially with these two retread candidates. IA is safely a Republican stronghold just as NH is safely a Democratic stronghold. The true battleground states are shifting somewhat (WI/AZ) and becoming fewer and further between.

I forget if Mark still had his snow tires on in April 2022? He must have.

That's more Thursday, but it's looking a little too progressive to give us an isothermal situation down to the valley floor. Andrew may see some blessings still. Friday-Sunday has the ULL swinging around the region and looks ripe for a little more organized shower activity and maybe some deformation zone action. Anything occurring between 6pm-10am on those days stands a good chance of bringing accumulations.

Shooting range!?

Some lightning out in the Gresham area right now apparently.

Same. Half of Slushy Inch could smile upon any of us, but I just don't see anything organized enough for much more. Saturday OTOH looks like it could be semi-legit.

Snowing here at 350'.

Could be a slushy inch up your way at some point?

Knocking on a whole bunch of wood, but I think we're just about at the point where an embarrassment of snow riches is virtually guaranteed for the mountains.

GFS is great. GEM is not.

Think he's down in Eugene now?

I consider Seattle to be part of greater Canadaland. Real WA extends up to about the Tumwater Costco, and then the Ritzville Les Schwab on the east side.

Your current location probably got nailed with the March 21-22, 2012 storm. Eastern side of the valley always does better with onshore flow and anafronts.

With regional onshore flow, there's not likely going to be much of a latitude difference. Coos Bay could be just as likely as Bellingham to score accumulating snow.

Any sub-40 high in March is serious bidness. SEA hasn't had one since 2009.

Shadowing absolutely impacts Seattle's snowfall compared to the wetter places further south. You just have to look at Olympia's averages to see that. The South Sound generally does better from that alone, and obviously Snohomish County does way better from the PSCZ which often picks up between Lynnwood and Shoreline. Seattle is in something of a snow-no-man's-land a lot of the time.

That storm was actually deeper the further south you went. Amounts peaked around Lewis County where they had 17-18" in Centralia. But the South Sound did quite well up through Tacoma, while I think Downtown Seattle had about 4" with the main event and then a couple inches with the initial c-zone. It's rare for Seattle to be at the epicenter of any event, outside of the odd c-zone. Geography pretty well sees to it with the shadowing and quick moderating power of the Sound. That's what made December 1990 so special, because they got clobbered in downtown while ironically SEA only got a fraction. March 2002 was another one.

Downtown Seattle is probably about equal to Fife, being that they are both on the water. Puyallup seems like they get a little less shadowing at least?

Been three of them here since then. 4/11/2022, 2/22/2023 , and 1/13/2024. Snowfall wise, Seattle is probably the worst inland place in Western WA.

Funny you say that because about the only thing I remember about driving through MF was their sweet little drive-in theater.

Wanna say epiceast?