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Jesse

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Everything posted by Jesse

  1. Sounds like you guys have had a hard time keeping up with the new expected norm of temps consistently 10-15 degrees above average down that way. Stay warm and God bless.
  2. Starting to grow out of that crap has definitely played a role. But in my defense the weather has also been incredibly dead this spring. The discussion here tends to be better here when there is active weather to discuss. Otherwise it’s mostly just a sea of yard/boating pics and cicada updates lately.
  3. Do what you want. It really gets easier and easier to stay away from this place. Not a lot of great discussion to be had these days.
  4. A warm summer for the west. Nice change of pace! Does ENSO state even matter anymore?
  5. 12z GFS shows much of Eastern Oregon getting more rain than we have seen in the last two months, by next weekend.
  6. So we've gone from cool summer talk to merely "preventing a blowtorch"
  7. Ironically a giant ridge might be better at giving us some precip on the backside. Some of our best precip events this time of year can be brought about by southerly (SWrly or SErly) flow as a ULL digs into west side of a sharp ridge progressing to our east.
  8. It's been an odd spring (-Jim). There have been deep troughs here and there, but almost all of them have had some sort of continental or inside slider-esque nature to them. And once they move out we have capitalized on any and all slightly above average 500mb heights with tons and tons of overachieving warmth during the abundant and long lasting sunny periods.
  9. I just can’t figure out how we get a big trough like that and basically avoid any rainfall. But it’s happened with the last few already, so it has recent precedent, unfortunately.
  10. Whatever solution keeps us in the long term regional drought conditions we have seen for years now with well above average temps to boot will invariably verify.
  11. Next week’s pattern is drying out so fast on the models it’s f*cking unbelievable.
  12. A very expected run. Every system the last few months has gone this way. Euro should follow suit.
  13. Yeah it’s been a blessing. About 6” of model rain today alone! The model trees are gonna love this.
  14. 78/51 day here with sun sun sun sun sun. Nice to see some convection building to the south and east, if not to just be reminded the atmosphere still has a pulse. This has easily been the most boring spring in memory in terms of any sort of interesting or notable non sunshine/drought related weather.
  15. Low of 51 this morning. And some good news. The 06z GFS holds up the front and now gives us a much deserved bonus warm and dry day on Tuesday. Hopefully that eventually extends through the following weekend
  16. Terrible summer crashing GFS run Lets hope the 99 in 100 odds of that not verifying work in our favor
  17. Clear and 47 this morning. Looks like the 80s have been extended through Monday now.
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