Jesse

I’m just always skeptical when the models want to push a big blob of very cold air over us with undercutting moisture, when there really isn’t much of a 500mb mechanism to push it/hold it south. Not much of a coherent offshore blocking signal on these runs. Very messy setup in the upper levels. Sometimes that works out though!

Looks like a playing with fire pattern to me. Maybe more than people want to admit right now. That said it would be really nice to see some of these colder and snowier runs verify. We are due!!

Chilly run.

My name isn’t short for Jessica

Have I missed anything?

A raw and chilly 37 degree rain here overnight and this morning

I really enjoyed that month.

Yeah yeah our climate is warming. That fact stands tall on its own without any need for further embellishment

Facts are such meanies.

Or b*tch and moan when we get one because they will remember this year and assume it means our winter is now doomed. Of course both takes would be wrong.

It can be frustrating. There was a point where I was pretty “onboard” with something at least fairly interesting for the last half of January. Was nice to see some lowland spots get snow on the 26th but overall the most the big pattern change did was keep us from scoring another top tier warm month. Which was great and all but it would have been fun to get a little more out of a -PNA period directly following some major warm first half of the winter karma.

Also I’m sure you guys all share the sentiment that the flips and flops on the models have been pretty exhausting the last couple weeks. I see there appears to be some upcoming potential once again but sometimes it’s nice just to take a back seat for a day or two and see how things evolve. Appreciate that I can count on many here to continue posting maps and useful model analysis despite all the ups and downs though. You keep this place running.

I think I might have missed like one full day of posting yesterday. I guess I’m flattered my short absence didn’t go at all unnoticed though. I feel loved And wouldn’t you say weenie reacts have been more my go to with you lately?

Thanks buddy. Luckily you will always be here to remind us you most definitely aren’t.

Been a little more active than I was anticipating with the trough finally moving onshore today. Although I was happy we didn’t torch as badly as we could have yesterday and the day before.

Funny how off base people’s perceptions can be of others lives. All good though. Been sort of a busy week so I was resigning myself to lurking for a few days. Glad to see you are just as desperate to measure yourself up to others personally as always, Andrew.

Who wouldn’t be after our late January 1969 redux?

The 18z GFS was a pretty solid run tbh.

Thanks for having my back AnDrew.

I for one am looking forward to what will be an active and hopefully chilly-ish Niña spring.

How do you figure HIO getting warmer than PDX during a well mixed, rainy day with south winds at one location and east winds at the other has anything to do with inversion season ending? I mean we gradually pull out of it the next few weeks, but the temp profile today didn’t really have anything to do with that. Could have easily seen the exact same set up a month and a half ago. In fact both locations hit 60 degrees with a strong south wind on the winter solstice.

You’re trying to win me over aren’t you

I’m pretty pleased to see offshore winds hanging on here. 48 for a high so far. The warmest we’ve been since the pattern change on the 18th was that surprise 50 on the 22nd.

I’m sure you wish it was I also figured that you if anyone would be able to pick up on the irony in that post.

I hate my life and hate this climate. I swear the two are totally unrelated though...