ShawniganLake

OH. great news. #sarcasm I hope your late January forecast busts terribly.

Euro weeklies do not provide much hope for January

Thank god. I hate inversions with a passion, unless there is a decent amount of snow on the ground. I would take pretty much anything over a January 2013.

Out to day 8, not even close.

850mb temps for hr216. That would equate to pretty high snow levels, even warmer than I would have thought originally. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2014123000/ecmwf_T850_nwus_10.png

Looks like the real cold air is hung up in Central BC. Probably would result in lowland rain and lowering snow levels in the Mountains. There would be a few places that could get lucky with that, but not likely the I-5 corridor.

It was 27F here just after dark, around 530. Currently 28F. The temp bouncing around as the wind comes and goes.

Our cabin is at Watch Lake, probably in the Middle between 100 mile house and Bridge Lake. We usually spend about 4 long weekends each summer up there. My parents plan on living up there during the summer once they retire.

I often follow the weather at 100 Mile House since we have a cabin close to there. I see its currently -20F, pretty cold to be sure, however they hit -37F back in February.

Abbotsford is up to 37f with a NE wind gusting to 40. I am assuming pressure gradients are more easterly than northerly. More similar to the first November "event". Not a great setup for a Fraser river event.

Pretty good Fred, how are you? So much for any type of defined modified arctic front. The winds have been gusting NE 25-40mph for 8 straight hours in Abbotsford and its still 36F.

Yea, that was never gonna happen. Still kinda like the guy.

Front Ranger takes the early lead.

Seriously? Maybe I missed something earlier, or you're being sarcastic. Either way, I quite like/d Phil

KNOCK...................................KNOCK..............................................KNOCK Phil................................Buddy.................................You there?.................................Anything?

He would be really close to that, I think he said he is a little closer to the ocean than where the heaviest accumulation is depicted.

Looks pretty doubtful, that model shows things really drying up about now, basically nothing falling after midnight. The sticking snow level dropped down to about 500ft around here earlier tonight. Picked up about 0.2" of rain and snow melt, so we were only a degree or 2 away from a couple inches of snow or so. Currently looks like its snowing pretty good on the Lake Cowichan HYW.

Down to 33F here now. The precip changed to light snow just as the last batch of moisture moved through, of course. Maybe some instability will form over the strait, along the arctic front later tonight, but I'm not holding my breath. Maybe I am being naïve, but I am not writing off a second brush with cold/snow before the middle of January.

Switched over to a heavy mixed precip/wet snow. Looking at webcams, sticking snow level is still above 1000 ft or so.

Yep. Starting to rain here now. 37f. Up from 36 an hour ago.

Yep arctic air should now be pushing south in both the Thompson and Fraser river canyons. Waiting to see it show up in Lytton next.

Arctic air seems to be pushing south pretty slowly. Still above freezing in a line from kamloops to Lillooet. 39 with rain at Hope, BC, It was snowing there yesterday.

Well if its a full blown "winter cancel", then this will be the least snowy season I have ever experienced. Fun times.

No kidding, model to model, run to run, they are not even close. The Long range euro is heading towards mild SW flow again.

Not for the Euro, I don't believe.