Looks like due westerly flow out this way with weak ridging. Probably marine layers on the westside and heat east of the crest, thunderstorms on the main axis of the ridge in MT where Gulf of Mexico sfc moisture advects into a very dry intermountain west environment. The same weather patterns that give them their best thunderstorms are also the ones that usually give our area seasonably cool, temperate conditions.
Thanks! Convection is one of the few corners of meteorology I actually feel I have a decent grasp on, compared to others like midlatitude dynamics, or whatever the hell dictates the weather in the tropics. Huh, Phil? MJO? You better M the J Outta here and touch some buffelgrass
You know your sheit on this stuff!
I have seen a couple of times where a marine layer actually enhanced thunderstorm activity. It has to be a perfect scenario though.