Hate to see that the models trended south and drier on the 06z suite. Maybe we can get a nudge back north today?

6z EPS mean would be about 5-8 across the KC metro. Ensembles appear to be locked in.

6z HRRR for round 1is encouraging. Round 2 looks to hit us well.

No problem bud. It's going to be a good snow and it was good to see the GEFS stop the bleeding.

EAX AFD still positive on snow amounts and mentions record low Monday morning. Large upper trough just off the southern California coast is expected to fragment into several smaller shortwaves leading to surges of precipitation across the central and southern plains this weekend. With the arctic airmass well entrenched across the region, any precipitation falling across eastern KS into northern and Central Missouri will begin and remain as snow. First in the series of short waves is expected to build into the the region this evening, but will be fighting an immense amount of dry air in the sub cloud layer. As such, have slowed pops and delayed winter weather advisory/winter storm warning to Saturday morning at midnight. As this short wave builds into the southern plains, good jet dynamics remain across the region with the right entrance region of a 180+ knot jet streak centered over the Ohio Valley remains across the area through at least mid day Sunday. This upper level divergence is enhanced by the left exit region of a secondary jet streak that develops across central Texas into eastern Oklahoma throughout the day on Saturday. With the frigid airmass in place, the dendritic layer extends from roughly from the surface to 550 mb in the atmosphere leading to very efficient ice/snow growth. With snow ratios in the vicinity of 17-19:1, expect a drier than normal snow to gradually accumulate through the weekend. Snow accumulations will largely be concentrated around the short waves both on Saturday and Sunday mornings. Snow is expected to come to an end on Sunday afternoon from west to east as second wave deepens along the east coast and upper level subsidence takes over drying out the atmosphere. In terms of snow amounts through the weekend, expect 4-8 inches of snow along and south of I-70, with lesser amounts to the north. The fresh snow cover and clearing skies Sunday night will allow locations to radiate well leading to the coldest temperatures of the season thusfar with widespread temperatures well below zero. The record low of -10 F for MCI on Monday is in question.