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NEJeremy

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Everything posted by NEJeremy

  1. NEJeremy
    that's my point. 6" over the next week from several waves moving through. i'm talking about getting a nice big storm which has been shown more and more consistently to be going south of here those first couple days of March. of course i'll take the snowfall because it's been a dry winter, but that still doesn't get us our first big storm of the year which is something almost everyone here in Nebraska has complained about. none of these storms would give us a winter storm warning which we haven't had all year. I know a lot of the posters on the great lakes section have complained too about getting clippered to death with all the small snowfalls. just looking for a biggie
  2. NEJeremy
    Looks like several light snow events here the next 5-6 days before the big storm gets suppressed way south. even the GFS which had been on our side for a big storm the first couple of days in March is now way south too. so I guess get ready for more 1-3" light snow events. God, can it be spring and 70 degrees already?!
  3. NEJeremy
    17" out in Kimball Nebraska along I-80 in the Nebraska panhandle! The interstate was closed to the Wyoming border. Report said absolutely no wind too. Would love to have seen that thick even blanket of snow across the whole countryside
  4. NEJeremy
    HOLY COW! That's amazing, too bad it's 252 hours away....
  5. NEJeremy
    I hope that verifies. This storm was pretty disappointing. Really thought we were going to get around 4" and have some incredible snow rates. I'd say the highest rates were around 1". It's been snowing since around 815-830 and we don't even have more than 1.5". temps have already risen back up to 35 now that the rates are slower. might be able to get to 2".
  6. NEJeremy
    It's coming down pretty good here. Pretty big fat flakes. Definitely seen harder snow before and I haven't had any thundersnow here. Looks like maybe 1.5" so far here
  7. NEJeremy
    Had some sleet mixing in here a while ago. I'm worried about the speed of the system being even faster than projected. It's flying east on radar. I hope the deformation band sets up soon enough where we start to get snow thrown back at us and moving more south to north as there is snow all the way down to Kansas.
  8. NEJeremy
    I know its the RAP but man it would be nice if this verified for Omaha! http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=RAP&grid=255&model_yyyy=2014&model_mm=02&model_dd=19&model_init_hh=23&fhour=18&parameter=CREF&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false
  9. NEJeremy
    Actually we're not in that bad of a drought. All of eastern Nebraska is only at a D0 level(abnormally dry) with it much worse out in western Nebraska. I keep saying this, but below normal snow amounts in the winter don't lead to a crippling drought. Omaha expects less than 3" of total qpf for the entire winter. Plus usually the ground is frozen so a lot of moisture runs off anyways in the winter. If this pattern continues into the spring and summer than we have to worry. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
  10. NEJeremy
    wow what a crappy run on the NAM. any hope of a decent sized snowfall here in eastern NE is quickly disappearing. we went from 1/2 inch of qpf to barely .20"
  11. NEJeremy
    66 degrees here today!! I love the feeling when I go outside. Just beautiful!!
  12. NEJeremy
    The 12Z NAM and GFS have definitely shifted east a little bit and have the heaviest qpf values just east of here into Iowa. We'll see how things play out as obviously have some time for changes yet
  13. NEJeremy
    next storm strengthens rapidly after it passes Omaha. Looks like an inch or two of nuisance snows with strong winds. Most of which will melt by the end of the day Thursday.
  14. NEJeremy
    HOLD ONTO TO YOUR SEATS FOLKS..... Omaha got another 1" of snow Unbelievable really.
  15. NEJeremy
    So what you're saying is that the LRC just says there will be a storm somewhere in the country on a repeating pattern? That there could have been a big storm to hit South Dakota and when the pattern repeats itself, the storm that is due could go through Texas? No wonder the LRC is so wonderful than. It doesn't have to be that accurate. I thought it focused more on upper air patterns repeating themselves not just that a storm is going to hit somewhere in the lower 48 states on a repeat pattern. What's almost amusing at this point(for lack of a better term) is how according to a certain someone on this board who always brags about his predictions coming to fruition, we(Nebraska) were supposed to be in this active pattern that originally was going to start in mid to late January, than that got pushed back to late January to early February, and then to February. Well here it is Feb 16th, there has been one big storm that went south of us and that's been it. The huge storm next weekend has gone away as well, at least for us here in Nebraska. The 50's and 60's this week are going to feel nice and spring at this point can't come soon enough!
  16. NEJeremy
    The LRC- the very reason why we won't get a big storm here in Nebraska all winter. Everything is repeating itself so why would anything change for us here...
  17. NEJeremy
    And nothing again for Nebraska. Man we can't buy a storm...
  18. NEJeremy
    I think we just cracked the 10" amount for the season at the airport with last weeks 3.5" storm, but what we have had is a ton of cold and below zero temps. I've never paid so much for my heating bills. What a joke of a winter. The extended offers little hope of any change around here in NE anyways with absolutely no snow for the next 16 days. It's funny how many times that crappy CFSv2 has had us buried in snow here but nothing all year. I know patterns are hard to break, but I am dying for an early spring here
  19. NEJeremy
    ahhh I remember the model runs at the end of last week that were showing 20-24" for us in Eastern Nebraska by the end of this weekend from the storm earlier this week and a storm coming through this weekend and now we're sitting at 3" from the first storm and nothing for this weekend except for some flurries. Bring on spring
  20. NEJeremy
    forecast was for 3-6" here and we ended up with 3.5-4". of course we fall on the low end of the amounts. but I believe we are now up to 10" for the winter now
  21. NEJeremy
    at about 3" and if the radar trends hold up it's going to be hard to get much more than an inch or inch and a half. very small light flakes blowing around. even if it snows until the middle of the night like what they are talking about it is going to be hard to get more than that. snow started earlier and heavier than first thought, but it's ending up about where I thought and it's definitely a disappointment we didn't get more. but I guess something more than an inch is better than nothing when you are sitting at 6" for the year prior to this storm
  22. NEJeremy
    NAM with its worst run yet for Omaha. GFS shows almost the exact same amount of QPF as well, barely having us in the .25". I'm definitely not thinking anymore than 4 to maybe 5" but we're so close to the edge I wouldn't be surprised if it stays under 3"
  23. NEJeremy
    my initial forecast is 2-4" here in Nebraska more south and east of here as Chicago and the same places get hit again
  24. NEJeremy
    ended up with a whopping 1.3" here in Omaha from this storm. and let the season of disappointments continue..... Looks like the GFS has gone way down with amounts for next week as well.
  25. NEJeremy
    Low snowfall in winter doesn't automatically mean we're in devastating drought. The avg qpf here is about 2.5" total for Dec to Feb. We've had about 5" of snow here in Omaha this winter which is about 10" below avg. In the winter you have way less evaporation due to low temps low sun angle and a lot of moisture running off due to frozen ground. People always overestimate the effect of low snowfall in the winter. That's why all of eastern Nebraska is only at a D0 on the drought monitor. If we get no moisture in April and May then things will go downhill fast
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