pscz1140

Been snowing nicely in Capitol Hill for a little while now. Cars, grass, and rooftops are turning white. Christmas tree is still lit up so sorta a lazy man's white Christmas here. Hopefully they'll be a lot more white candy for all of us the next few days

The NAM 12km is looking really good for weekend snow from Northern OR to just south of Seattle. Maybe the best yet. Hopefully the precip can hold on a bit longer in the Northern climes.

Every time I go to Bend I seem to be the only dude without a beard - not sure how they grow them so big down there. In weather news it appears to be pretty darn cold outside my apartment right now. Need to borrow that swamp thermometer to get an exact reading, though.

So the GFS now shows snow off and on in the Seattle area from Tuesday morning until Friday afternoon. I'd be willing to sacrifice an assortment of chickens, sticks of gum, and Hadley cells to see that verify.

Euro ensemble mean looks nice and it snows for days on the GFS-Para. Models looking good today to say the least.

Wow, the swamp gets buried and the Gorton's FishermanTM even gets some snow on his little yellow sombrero off the Oregon Coast. Let's do this!

Timing has sped up a bit with the 12z (compared to the 6z) and it looks even snowier over King County. GFS not backing down with the mother (sister?) of all warning shots.

So you're referring to yourself in the third person now? This place has gone full loco tonight.

Yeah, the GEFS looks really good in the long range with a nice healthy block. Nothing like the operational after Week 1.

The most likely outcome is that the clown range is going to change dramatically every six hours for the foreseeable future. In the meantime I'll be enjoying my fine 24-ounce can of beer with the knowledge that the believable range is looking pretty good and trending better.

Yeah, near the top.

Just changed to snow here. Nice, fat flakes

Take with mounds of salt, but the GEM shows some prolonged snow on Monday in Seattle with a low tracking close to the city. If the cold air can stick around/be reinforced some of these possibilities will work out for a lot of us. Just need to keep throwing sh*t at the wall....

It's been snowing hard in Capitol Hill since I woke up just after 8:00. Everything is white except for the roads. From webcams it looks it might be raining (or at least sticking less) a bit lower down, though.

At looks like it's snowed there before, at least on the hills. Would be nice to see some actual snowfall data. "Rare though snow is, it is not unprecedented: occasional plunges of Arctic air produced snow in Okinawa in 1952, 1964 and 1977." http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/01/siberian-cold-reaches-southeast-asia-160125091421039.html

I grew up in Jersey, mostly during a mind-numbing snow drought from the mid-80s to early-90s, and I go back often. Thank the Ruler of the Universe I was home visiting in January '96. My grandparents used to live in Elkins Park and Villanova. The climate there has a certain appeal, but the NW is a really special place.

Do any long-range Third World models come out between 2:30 and 7:30 p.m.? (not ensembles) Nothing pisses me off more than waiting for the 00z, and I'm willing to ride just about anything.

How's the JMA looking?

I was more than 12, lol. I had recently moved to Seattle and it was my first or second day teaching as a grad student at UW. I think I was around 20 minutes late for class since the buses were all messed up. I'm pretty sure I ended up walking most of the way back up to Capitol Hill in the snow, though I've had about 10,000 beers since then so my memory is a bit fuzzy. Great day, though.

Not sure if these have been posted before, but here are a couple of great articles on tropical forcing, the Blob, ENSO, and the NPM. Really nice graphs, maps, and simulation results in there. https://baynature.org/articles/today-in-el-nino-advice-dont-worry-about-the-blob/ https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/tropics-prime-suspect-behind-warm-cold-split-over-north-america-during

6 inches new at Crystal with more to come. The litte micro system that could! Skiing is probably pretty good on top, though the 3 inch base at the bottom is pretty lolable.

Yeah, Bachelor has been lucky. I'll probably ski below Camp Muir later this spring. I was pretty high above Paradise hiking in the snow last June with tons of people skiing past me (and some marmots) in some pretty carvable snow. It brought back good memories of skiing Tuckerman's Ravine (below) in late May growing up.

Lol, nope. I stayed in Bend and skied at Bachelor two years ago. Great skiing off the summit - awesome mountain overall. I guess my attempt at jack***edry backfired.

He was talking about ski resorts, though. I've been to Bachelor - people pay money to slide on snow there.

Somehow there's an 87 inch base at Bachelor, and it looks like they're about to get a lot more. http://www.mtbachelor.com/site/plan/info/winterconditions