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Everything posted by bud2380
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3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
That's unreal. On the plus side the Euro shows 6" of snow tonight for Cedar Rapids! LOL. -
The Euro's QPF totals are much better in Iowa than the GFS.
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Euro brings snow down to Cedar Rapids on Friday morning.
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3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
Canadian is better further south, probably just late to the party. The GFS has become very dry for Iowa compared to previous runs. Only about a half inch for Iowa City/CR compared to 2-3" previous days. GDPS like I said is better, but I am not trusting this solution. -
This Thu/Fri clipper is gonna mean business for someone.
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3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
EPS Mean -
3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
Euro -
3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
And it's still snowing at this point in the run. -
3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
GFS dramatically cut back on QPF in Iowa as well from just the 00z run. -
3/24-3/27 Midwest/Plains Colorado Low(s)
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
The current 12z GFS vs. 24 hours ago is much further north with snow. Just going to have to hope for some heavy rains down here. -
18z NAM would say, upgrade that to a warning and expand it.
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January 2024 Observations and Discussion
bud2380 replied to Minny_Weather's topic in East of the Rockies
Any signs of winter again this year? Man, everyday I take a peak at the models, no decent snow to be found anywhere in the middle of the country. Long range temps still look above average for the forseeable future. -
January 21-23 Wintry Mix Transition Event
bud2380 replied to Black Hole's topic in East of the Rockies
I had a half inch of slushy snow on my car when I left for work this morning. -
I'm so jealous. Once in my life, I want to be present for a massive lake effect snow event and just watch it unfold.
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Report of 2.3” near my house.
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Looking at the radar, it seems like southern Iowa is in line to get the heaviest snow. I80 on south anyways. We'll see if this rotates more due east, or continue to head ESE.
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Ironically the Euro kept getting stronger as the event got closer. Looks like a slightly weaker version of what the Canadian (RDPS and GDPS) have been showing for a couple days. H/T to the Canadian models for really nailing this one.
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15z HRRR does the same thing as the RAP. But 2-3" is fine for me.
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The RAP really weakens as it heads east across Iowa.
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18z HRRR
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Not much change on the Euro. The big question will be, is this system more moisture starved like the Euro shows? Or does it have a little more juice like the Canadian shows? The GFS just seems out to lunch at this point.
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Canadian remains strong.
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15z RAP
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18z RDPS