BLI snowman

Top tier.

Mark frequently has something of a midrange extremes bias IMO, but I think it's tempered with age and is actually less noticeable with warm season events honestly. He's obviously a weather weenie at heart and he seems to still have a passion for cold/snow like the rest of us, in spite of it forcing him into 16 hour workdays whenever it actually happens. The trolling is pretty stupid.

I think it was an informative enough post in its own right, interesting to see how his forecasts shook out. And Jesse has been calling Mark warm biased for literally about 8 years. Other than a small handful of long term people, I doubt most folks would even get the aim.

1991. Followed by a 1991-92 repeat in 2015-16.

Well in that case, DC is a swampy, politician infested rectal wart. And our strongest wind speeds (10/12/1962) beat their strongest wind speeds (Hurricane Hazel in 1954). So there's that.

The 1951 and 1991 events seem to be the most impressive of the airport era prior to today. 1951 had some nice Fraser River outflow at BLI, sustained winds of 33mph http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KBLI/1951/8/28/DailyHistory.html

We don't get many strong to severe thunderstorms west of the Cascades, Phil. And when we do get them, which is rare, they tend to occur in the April to June timeframe when the troughs are a bit more dynamic. Like California, our climate is pretty Mediterranean in the sense that the storm season just shuts down for 6-12 weeks every year in the summer.

Strongest gust there in several years, right? They only got to 50mph with the storm last December.

Also hit 58mph at BLI, wowzas. PDX eeked up to 43mph. SEA hit 46mph.

It's not so much the wind speeds but the way that they're being achieved. It's one thing to get a strong east wind or localized thunderstorm outflow, but a strong south windstorm is pretty close to unparalleled 8/29/1991 might be the closest match in my mind, but that low was way further north. 8/28/1951 set Portland's monthly low barometer reading of 29.44", but it looks like that was a pretty broad trough and not from a closed low.

51 mph at BLI.

It's already a weak tropical storm and should become a major cane in the next few days. The GFS solution is obviously doubtful, but its remnants could easily get entrained in the westerlies like it's showing. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep3+shtml/144319.shtml?5-daynl#contents Ignacio is also a legit threat to Hawaii in the next week.

That is Tropical Storm Jimena. Honestly, in a strong El Nino year like this that is definitely worth watching for the West Coast. 1997 was the last year you could say that, with Ignacio and Linda that year making for some weather action in CA/OR/WA. That warm ocean can work some relative wonders. A juicy remnant low isn't out of the question.

Since March 23, the most rain Portland has had in a single calendar day has been .41". That's pretty pathetic and probably some type of record. They're really overdue.

OLM pulled off a pretty sexy low of 5 in February 2011 with some snowcover assistance. Otherwise you probably have to go back to December 1998's -1 to find a really standout radiational cooling event there. The 14 in October 2002 was also pretty impressive.

It's been a reasonably average 5 years up here. 2012-13 and 2014-15 sucked massively, but 2010-11, 2011-12, and 2013-14 all had good Fraser River outflow based snowfall events. Only big struggle has been getting snow going into a cold spell. January 2012 sort of counts but otherwise you have to go back to November 2010 to find a solid snow followed by a legitimate arctic blast up this way. I'll be taking a job in the Portland area this fall, so I'm moving back down there in the next few weeks. I'll miss Whatcom County and will probably still visit every couple months. Ultimately I'm going to end up somewhere else eventually. My work is in facility operations (e.g. hotels) and my aim is actually to move into ski resort operations within the next few years. Long term I'm looking towards Utah/Colorado/Idaho.

Yeah, big heavy thunderstorm events suck. I prefer our normal drizzle. As best as I can recall, the mild, sunny pleasantness wore out its welcome for me in roughly mid September 2014. The welcome mat has yet to be brought back out.

I'm not too invested in what the weather does or doesn't do at this juncture of the year. I'll care more in October when fog, crispiness, and cyclogenesis become a real life possibility again. Another important note: September 2013 wasn't crap. That was a rare dynamic stretch of weather for our region. I hope you really soaked it in when it occurred.

I'm just being a cold hard, conservative realist. Nasty thing is that even a cool September generally means a week or more in the 80s for you.

Dry heat + warm blob induced lows. Theme of 2015 so far. Summer really doesn't end until about October 10 in NW OR anyways. Lots of 85+ events have happened in that early October timeframe. It'll take a few more months for the river and lake temps to get remotely cool, also.

Likely will be a long payoff for this come mid September to mid October. Lots of dry heat in that period.

Cooler weather is good for firefighters, 60mph, gusty winds are not. Not rocket science. The winds will have to die down and steady up a bit before they can catch more of a break. A longwave trough with higher humidity would in fact be good news right now.

http://lmgtfy.com/?q=kuil

The .04" at UIL really jumps out.

I'd imagine their snowfall averages are pretty similar to Bainbridge Island since they don't get quite the benefits from cold air damming that that side of the Sound gets. But they definitely get more shower and convergence zone activity, and their elevation should help with certain wet bulb events, so overall it's likely fairly close.