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ShawniganLake

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Everything posted by ShawniganLake

  1. ShawniganLake
    More interesting than the gfs.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2015010200/ecmwf_z500a_namer_10.png
  2. ShawniganLake
    After Mondays system clears, the first half of January is looking like it could be a total snoozefest on the GFS. Mild too.
  3. ShawniganLake
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/current_extended/images_d2/wa_snow72.72.0000.gif
  4. ShawniganLake
    Looks a shade milder for sunday morning to me. Still showing some snow up near the Canadian border on the WRF
  5. ShawniganLake
    Has it really been 10 years. Ouch. I'm feeling old. 29f currently. Looks like it might snow here this weekend. Then it will rain.
  6. ShawniganLake
    Looks like NO edit. As in improvements over the 12z. Could be close first thing in the morning for some wet snow
  7. ShawniganLake
    looks about the same as 12z, maybe a little wetter sunday/monday
  8. ShawniganLake
    Looking that way right now. Gfs is pretty bullish hanging onto near freezing or below 925mb temps, easterly winds, and a fair amount of precip. Higher elevations around nanaimo could get 8-10" if that panned out. Looks like 2-6" down here. I would be worried if I lived near the ocean, might be tough to see actual sticking snow.
  9. ShawniganLake
    That was suppose to be our blast UKMET looks real ridgy next week too. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/GZ_D5_PN_144_0000.gif
  10. ShawniganLake
    Euro is going nowhere fast through hr168. I gotta think those promising analogue composites are a bit misleading considering they are based off of GFS modelling and the models have been struggling lately. I guess we will see.
  11. ShawniganLake
    Is going nowhere fast through hr168. I gotta think those promising analogue composites are a bit misleading considering they are based off of GFS modelling and the models have been struggling lately. I guess we will see.
  12. ShawniganLake
    Nice and chilly. Second straight night that it has been partly to mostly cloudy here. Screwed up any chance of seeing lows in the teens. Currently low clouds and 29F.
  13. ShawniganLake
    Canadian ensembles in the long range trending poorly as well. Tonight http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2015010100/gem-ens_z500a_namer_45.png Same time frame 36hrs ago looked like this. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2014123012/gem-ens_z500a_namer_51.png
  14. ShawniganLake
    Look kinda poopy to me. Can I say poopy when talking to other adults? http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png
  15. ShawniganLake
    Not sure, looks like us Canadians are only willing to share with people that live within shouting distance of the border.
  16. ShawniganLake
    Snowstorm here on Monday night. That is a positive.
  17. ShawniganLake
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Not so good.
  18. ShawniganLake
    Awesome and interesting info here. I sometimes forget to look over here, as I get hung up just reading the main thread.
  19. ShawniganLake
    Looks quite a bit better.
  20. ShawniganLake
    Looking at the 6z nam it seems like that positive trend may be continuing. Looks to me like the area of low pressure north of Hawaii is wanting to slip back south, keeping it and the short wave south of Alaska as separate entities. This could be important in maintaining a stronger block.
  21. ShawniganLake
    Canadian Ensemble has also been indicating the likelihood of western troughing in the long range. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2014123012/gem-ens_z500a_namer_51.png
  22. ShawniganLake
    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png Not great, but not bad. quite a few cold members in the longer range. Interesting to see the mean drop down to -5C this weekend. Havent given up on some snow up here this weekend. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png
  23. ShawniganLake
    Seems like people are getting a little desperate for some snow around here. All I can say is that things could look a lot less promising for January than they do right now. I still quite like the chances for some type of snow event before mid-month. Last year at this time January was looking like a write-off, and it ended up being one.
  24. ShawniganLake
    It's probably unlikely but it wouldn't blow my mind if we suddenly saw the models start trending colder for the Saturday-Monday period. Seems like an arctic event is off the table for the time being though.
  25. ShawniganLake
    Some spots in the Greater Victoria area, exposed to the NE winds, failed to record a freeze last night. You could have done worse.
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