Front Ranger

The position of the ridge is pretty good, but for whatever reason 850s don't get as cold by day 8 as the 12z. But yes, frigid temps in the Yukon/BC.

At day 7, this run is not as cool as 12z. But it's still holding the block in a good place, potential snow chances with offshore flow. Still worlds different than GFS.

Day 6. Ridge is centered a bit too far west, but plenty strong. 10x better than GFS solution.

Euro already looking way better than GFS.

Yes, but most of the time it isn't snowing in those areas. Last winter, for instance.

I respect this. Consistency and objectivity. You're loyally sticking with King Euro, as you would do if it sucked. Down with the ship...

Hour 240 of the NAM is looking pretty tasty...

Obi Wan Euro, you're our only hope.

He's obviously in the mob.

Right. Well, what I meant was that it wasn't super steep. The snow got packed down pretty good, so we didn't need much of an incline to really get going.

You're way ahead of the Seattle NWS.

Most likely Tim Hortons.

Yeah, like I said, some pretty massive differences run to run with the GFS with some features. But semi-consistent with others.

Worse. Closer to the 12z.

That being said, there are some massive differences between every GFS run lately. No consistency. The Euro is the one model showing consistency right now...would like to think that means something.

Yeah, this GFS run isn't making a move towards the Euro.

0z is pretty weak with the offshore ridge in the mid range. Probably still setting up for some more marginal snow situations, though.

Indeed. I was but 9 years old, and it was the storm that truly sparked my interest in weather. My school had a Christmas program that night, the last day of school before winter break. There was no snow when the program started, but from the stage I could look out through the back windows of the building and saw when it started snowing...I remember seeing it blow sideways, and swirl around in the wind. Two hours later, we stepped outside into a winter wonderland. The drive home was treacherous, with lots of cars off the road, especially on the hills. Once home, we turned on the news and saw reports from around the area about the storm (SIBERIAN EXPRESS!!). Lots of places lost power but we didn't. The next day was frigid and everything, even all the roads, were covered in a thick layer of snow. The neighborhood kids and I sledded up and down the street (we lived on a sloping hill) all day. It was glorious. Sadly, I came down with chicken pox the next day, and had to watch all the other kids having a blast outside the next few days while I was stuck inside.

This is true, but the east side of the Rockies sees much wilder swings in weather and more t-storms, two things he listed as priorities.

Almost half of Seattleites prefer cool/stormy weather? Certainly doesn't jive with some theories about the general population proposed on here. Guess non-weenies are just as screwed up as weenies.

I asked what was the last winter you had 30"+?

DEN already down to 4 after a high of 20. Warm anomalies taking a beating.

You misread my question.

Will be interesting to see where your seasonal snowfall is at by the end of the month. What was the last winter you had 30"+?

Here's the ensemble mean for days 6-10. My guess would be most members are generally supportive of the operational solution.