Cloud

Pretty sure @RentonHillwould agree with my assessment in the previous post!

Last 2 winters have yielded a fat F from me for my area. - This year, less than a trace and a dry cold snap. - Last year, less than 2” total snow. Brutal, especially seeing the surrounding areas did well.

Looks great! Get that north winds cranking.

Rain started just before 1am… hasn’t stopped since. Ahhh welcome to Februvember in the PNW!

You’re actually exactly right here. The utility here are handled by SCL.

Yah definitely a surprise and a bit of a hinderance too. At the old place, where we lived for 20+ years… I’ve only experienced handful of outages. The most memorable one was the Hanukkah eve wind storm outage that lasted 3 days. Definitely more frequent as of late which sucks. Tim brought up the PSE staffing issue, maybe that’s it.

I wouldn’t be surprised if it is. Most of the time, it gets restored within 5-6 hours and usually happens when people are sleeping. So the grids must be turned off on purpose.

Around Boeing field is a bit more exposed so this place usually gets the high end of the winds. It’s kinda weird because at the old place (about 5 miles away), which is on top of a hill, can get stronger winds but rarely have power outages.

A rarity to see a late season wind advisory and flood watch at the same time. This is some November vibe weather. Prepping for an outage… This place we moved to last year have seen 3 power outages already with winds 30-35mph. Wind expected this time is 25-35 up to 45mph.

The north sound PCSZ was a thing of beauty. Seeing reports of some folks getting 2” or more in Everett.

Y’all unhinged af.

Could be a nice day to call in on Wednesday. North of Seattle into Everett tends to get snowy for this setup.

This is why these days I prefer to donate to local churches or the Salvation Army. Even the church in Vietnam where my wife is currently at. How they want to handle that is their business. But, I stopped handing out to random hobos on the streets after one threw back some food in my car I gave them some at a red light, saying they didn’t ask for food, only money.

La Niña Watch! This is one I’m following closely since it’ll be a good Niño collapse next couple months. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

Yesterday was 3rd consecutive day of 61/51 identical spread. Unusual would be an understatement.

Considering taking off my winter tires this weekend for my Subie. Which would be the earliest I’ve done in a while. About a month ahead. Feels like no need for them anymore.

SEA’s departure to date is now -2.3 (excluding today’s data). During this warmth period, we’re seeing +0.5 to +0.6 to the negative departure. At this rate, the month will end up between -1.0 to -1.5. Which is still below normal, but what is normal anymore?

60 once again. 3 days in a row.

The -2.9 didn’t take into account the data for today yet. Which was another 61F high at SEA. Tomorrow and Wednesday also looks have large positive departures. I doubt it’ll disappear but could end up close to normal. Too lazy to crunch in the numbers.

The last few days of the month could end up ruining what seems to be a pretty chilly month. Potentially bring it up to normal. SEA MTD shot up to now -2.9 departure. Shame. Can’t recall a time when SEA scores a decent stretch of highs in the low 20s and lows in the teens to have the month ended up being normal.

Pretty sure this was already discussed since I didn’t bother to scroll back to look. Winds shifted today at Bellingham and temps shot all the way up to 68 at 7pm and eventually reached 69. Pretty freaking unreal. 69 is what Bellingham would typically see in late June. SEA also set another day of record with a 61 again. Just stop this.

It’s likely we’ll be heading into another Niña fall/winter. That’s 3 in the last 4 years! At the very least, the outcome will be a neutral year so the likelihood of of a back to back Niño is slim. The current CDAS 3.4 index is ~+1.2. While Niño is still holding on strong, it is showing signs of weakening as this value is the lowest over past 2 months.

Had to look it up… regret it. Record of 57 was shattered today. Disgusting.

House is kinda warm this evening. Got the fan running. It’s January y’all, what is this crap?

Current outlook. Expect Niño conditions to weaken heading into March/April. ~75% chance of neutral by end of spring. Niña/Neutral heading into the summer with developing Niña from there on. ~65% Niña and 30% neutral heading into next fall and winter.