Frontal Snowsquall

The 18z GFS trended colder for next week. Yeah it develops a surface low as the trough digs deeper allowing for more moisture. Most of us should see snow down to sea level by Monday evening. 522 thickness already down to Northern California also by Monday evening. Great run!

MAKE AMERICA COLD AGAIN!

Age is nothing but a number. You’re only halfway there. As long as you take care of yourself you got tons of life left. Plus with medical technology in the decades to come humans will be able to live longer.

The 18z GFS shows snow pretty much down to sea level or close Monday and Tuesday morning as the pattern shifts to cold onshore flow. Everyone should see at least snow in the air. If you have some elevation like at 500-1000 feet or higher you should get some accumulations. If the precipitation is heavy enough it could drag the snow level down to the sea level and then anybody could get accumulations.

Here we go! The first domino to fall!

That’s an Arctic Blast signature with all the snow. The first go around will be a warning shot with cold onshore flow. But at day 10 of the 12z EURO it shows Arctic air making its way down into Central BC. The ingredients are there for some really cold air to make its way down into the PNW. It remains to be seen however if it gets watered down since we are getting close to March now.

Marine Heatwave!

We’re cutting it pretty close but we can still get a decent Arctic Blast through February as we all saw last winter. But it gets harder as you get into March especially those who need a Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin to get snow. If you have some elevation like 500 feet or higher then you can still score in March.

The 18z GFS is showing some pockets of snow/ice tomorrow morning west of the Cascades and then more ice Saturday morning.

If the Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin was a little deeper than I would be more confident we could get a snowstorm but it looks be to a marginal setup. If this was in the peak of winter like the last week of December we could probably get away with it and get a decent snowstorm. Most of us should still see snowflakes in the air and possible accumulations though.

Usher great halftime show!

Oregon and Idaho going for the Niners! Washington and Montana going for the Chiefs!

00z EURO shows enough of a Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin for snow down to sea level with offshore flow as a system moves onshore. It’s just going to be a question of where the low tracks. Right now Salem/Corvallis is in the bullseye but expect this to change as we get closer to the event. A snowstorm is looking likely sometime later next week somewhere along the I-5 corridor between Vancouver BC and Eugene.

Both the 00z GEM and GFS also show snow down close to sea level towards the end of next week. Colder and possibly snowy weather is on the way.

Here you go! “Palm trees swaying in the breeze brings to mind warm tropical climes, but there are several palms that are perfectly hardy in Portland! They lend a unique look to the garden as well as adding wonderful architecture, color and texture year round. Palm trees appreciate a sunny location with well-drained soil. Many Portlanders have heavy clay soil that holds a lot of water during rainy months, so preparing the soil well is an very important step in growing hardy palms successfully. Remove some of the clay (1/4 – 1/3) in the planting area. Dig a hole about as deep as the container and at least twice as wide. A wider hole is good, but don't dig too deep - the plant will sink as soil settles. Mix pumice or grit and organic matter with the existing soil, blending it well. Use the blended soil to plant. Keep the soil level the same as it was in the container or slightly higher. Do not pile soil around the base of the trunk. Palms are well suited to growing in containers too. Use a well-drained soil or cactus mix for planting.” https://www.portlandnursery.com/shrubs/palm

Normally I would be reluctant to call for another Arctic Blast in an El Niño but SSW events during a moderate/strong El Niño seem to have great track records. The winter of 1968-69 had multiple Arctic Blasts and multiple SSW events. And there were extreme winter events that winter and we just had one in January. We can still get an Arctic Blast through February as we all saw last winter. We will need to see the models start getting cold though in the long range soon but it could turn on a dime and come at us quickly due to the SSW event.

My condolences guys on your lost. Some people live to work but we must remember we must work to live. If we don’t take time to care of our health now we will for sure have to take time later for our illnesses. Having a good work ethnic is great and not being lazy but with all things in life there is a Goldilocks Zone right in the middle that is optimal. Ikaria is a tiny island in Greece known for its longevity and many people live to over 100. The guy at the end of the video gives advice on how to live a long healthy life. He says to not be sad, to not get stressed in order to make money, to make whatever. And to drink wine and be calm. Wine because it contains resveratrol and is good for your health.

Another out here this morning with some . Should be another nice day before arrives this evening.

Had my first freeze this morning since the epic cold/snow/ice/wind event last month. Now a beautiful sunny day!

Blocking setting up right close to our sweet spot. Here we go again!

Great EURO run! That’s cold enough for snow down to sea level if there’s moisture.

After this warm and wet period there’s still some time left in the cold season for cold onshore flow. Probably will hold off though until late February into March.

00z EURO shows much needed rain is on the way through the next 10 days. ️

I haven’t looked at the models recently but it looks like we’re headed into a warmer and wetter pattern which makes sense after an Arctic Blast. Parts of the PNW are still in a drought so we need as much rain as we can get. Especially since I’m thinking this warm season could be one of the hottest ever in the PNW.

That’s the first thing I did, take a nice hot shower/bath. I love cold wintry weather and windstorms so I definitely got my moneys worth with this event that lasted a solid week. Losing power and having to sleep a couple nights with no heat made me appreciate this Arctic Blast and the power of the Columbia Gorge. I have no idea how the Native Kalapuyans were able to survive weather like this with the ice, frigid temps and strong winds. That’s about as brutal as it can get but I bet they knew if there was ice then the warm tongue would be close by so they likely moved south.