Hello from Chicago! I’m visiting family for a little while and wouldn’t ya know, the colder pattern shows up! It’s a brisk 36F…brrr! I will say, however, it feels really nice and the smell of moisture is noticeable. My flight was quite interesting. First off, it started by our plane not being able to depart on time because our pilots did not arrive from their previous flight from Tampa. Our plane was completely boarded but no pilots. We waited an extra 45 min before they did their safety checks and logged their books. Once we took off out of PHX, it was clear skies and with a roaring jet stream we were booking. It only took us less than 3 hours flying time (2 hours and 30 min). That is probably a record for me to have experienced. Interestingly, there was barely any turbulence which made it a comfortable flight. At one point, I happened to look outside my window and asked myself “where are we now?” Low and behold, I was directly over our KC peeps! C0C38BF4-530E-4839-A37B-23C7D7CEEBE2.mov 4CA8A6F0-C153-4005-9DB6-37ACEFF2520D.mov CE7AE0B4-7316-4723-A138-E84C81E493B1.mov ABEBC7CA-D9D6-48F6-889C-CD6B512727A7.mp4

65 by the end of May maybe

Trace in Ballard. No thermometer, but probably upper 30s.

Good lord. How does this compare to other Niños? This has to be a record

It's funny you mention that, because I've always found it interesting how both the 2014-15 and 2015-16 Niños had New Years-ish Arctic air. Fascinating that it's a general feature of Niño climo... Given the subtly changing wavenumbers as winter waxes into its zenith then wanes into spring, it makes sense that such a broad and distinct agitator of the Pacific jet like the ENSO cycle would provide certain features with an amount of regularity on the seasonal timescale, within windows of ~1-4 weeks. A similar feature we've talked about more often on the forums is the warm November - La Niña correlation, with recent (climatologically regular) Niñas in 2008-9, 2016-17, and 2021-22 crashing into December cold out of a milder Fall regime, with even some 70s in early Nov. 1949-1950 is of course the ultimate example of this. I'm curious if you've seen any other correlations? Aside from that, if we do decide to go down the path of an 1877-78 redux, then considering that event set high water marks still standing almost a century and a half later, our planet may be in for a world of hurt these next 2-3 years. A similar departure from today's average would probably cause some eerily rapid, profound climate change.