Leaderboard

The NAO and AO will be big players this winter. I think we might need them to go pretty negative to help get cold shots down here. The El Nino winter of 2009 had a major negative NAO and AO. One of the blockiest winters of all time. If we can just get the blocking to occur up North it could be a very good winter for snow lovers. I would imagine the jetstream will have a more favorable setup for big storms and bringing moisture up from the South. Cold air is my biggest concern right now.

A strong and cold ULL in the desert SW spawned weak tornado's in AZ, Mtn Snows in NV and flash flooding in Las Vegas over the past 2 days. Here's a pic near a Ski Resort just outside Vegas...

00z GFS showing a pattern that could be possible as a piece of Pacific energy rides along the southern edge of the Hudson Bay vortex and tugs down the chilliest air of the season. Just need the EURO to come on board. I touched on this just yesterday...manifestation??? HA!

agree geos that is a big differnce much weaker cycle solar wise then 58 which was a strong solar cycle while solar as phil stated likey won't big the big boss player as it will likey be in a few years down the road it still will be interisting to see how the over all weakness of the cycle plays with the progession blocking wise in the Ao/nao domain with this el nino.that cerlintly could very well be a surpise part that winter could induce.will be intersting to see it play out.

Yeah. I have to agree. I don't have any reason to be afraid it won't be a great year. I seriously doubt that this el nino will be anything like 57-58. I think a year like 1977-78 is becoming a possibility. I think it was warm through october.