GobBluth

Heats retreating by late Thursday

GFS is dominating this pattern - Euro has caught up to the Friday cooldown.

Euro doesn't look at hot, at least lower 500mb.

similar progression but the gem parks that low a lot closer.

100+ is trending unlikelier over the weekend per the morning models

We don't. Usually will shut down the house on extreme 100 degree days, otherwise keep it open and let airflow drag the hot air upstairs and out the windows. For the real hot days open all the windows about 6pm once the outside temp is starting to come down.

GFS looking less extreme over the weekend, GEM is gone more extreme.

Hillsboro -7 from 24 hours ago.

models seems to be leaning towards a long term ridge position in the gulf so potential is there.

explain the reference?

95 looks doubtful for Thursday in PDX if the 12z gfs or gem is correct.

gfs flattens out the ridge quick next week. Tuesday is real hot.

Not an overly impressive heatwave on new GFS.

don't want to play woulda coulda too much, but imagine this pattern in early January.

split flow hell in the long term gfs

It's like a copy/paste of the typical La Nina map later next week.

The backcurl coming back over Washington County looks reminiscent of the January 2017 storm.

It does look like the block is trying to consolidate.

the inconsistency of the gfs is either a part of its brilliance or an indication it should be always ignored.

looks like a ton of energy is going into an aleutian low and the nw will get just the very edges of storms from the north.

the pacific is coming to life just in time to undercut any ridge ready to deliver goodness.

depends if the cut off can hold steady.

looking more and more that any action will need to wait until around a potential ridge realignment around the 27-28th.

This is the time of the year when the NWS forecasts are slow to keep up with model trends.

the NAO to get fully negative, correct?