Phil

Sea levels have risen hundreds of meters since the last ice age.

Again, that's completely understandable. I expect the skepticism to last for awhile. There's a point at which trolling becomes obvious, however. I'm tired of the silly, nonsensical interrogations from a particular member, that's all.

I'm don't remember if you were present during Tim's relentless tirade this June/July, but it was exhausting. I wasn't the only one flabbergasted by it. I can only handle so much nonsense at one time.

After today's 94/72 (+7) spread, I think a monthly record is more likely than not at DCA. The next two days should manage low/mid 90s quite easily. Tomorrow will also (probably) mark 50 days at/above 90F this summer. Only 5 of them occurred in June, so I think September may once again deliver more 90+ days than June.

What battle? What am I trying to win? I don't get it. Likewise, have a nice night.

Does it matter? Obviously I'm not home every day of the year. This is what I'm taking about. Desperately gunning for a "gotcha" that doesn't exist.

Thanks. Not yet, at least. Hope to be degreed within the next year. Have been busting my arse, failing topology twice in the process, but in the end I hope it'll be worth it.

Honestly, traveling back home has been a pain in the butt on so many levels...I probably have a short fuse right now. I'm actually not an angry person at all, as had been suggested by a few people here. I think I might come off that way sometimes, however, so I'll try to work on that.

When I said I work with ultrasonic sensors on an (almost) daily basis, I wasn't trying to imply I was paid to do it. I thought I clarified this twice. I work for a landscaping/hardscaping company based in Ashburn, VA. I've attended classes at MC & UMD, and will be transferring into the UMD M.S. program this spring, after I complete my B.S. Is that enough information for you?

Your "questions" didn't make any sense to me. I'll bet even Tim and Dewey agree with me on this one.

You still remember that? Honestly I'd wanted to come clean about it awhile beforehand, however at that point I was just too embarrassed about the whole situation to man up and admit it. Honestly is a huge weight off my chest. I have nothing to hide anymore, and it feels great to be myself.

I get pissed when you consistently make ridiculous accusations without any foundation whatsoever. I have five SHT15 sensors and three SHT11 sensors located on different sites. I just got back in town after being away for a solid month, so no I don't have much of anything sitting around.

If you're referring to something I posted 6+ years ago, then yeah I'm probably not going to remember it. I'm pretty sure the vast majority of my teenage posts were bulls**t. Anything after February of 2014 (in regards to dead infants) didn't come from me, however. That much I can guarantee.

For the record, I've been 100% honest since I provided my real location. All my info is out there on social media. I converse with several folks from here on Twitter and Facebook, as a matter of fact.

That definitely wasn't me. My cousin lost a child during birth. That's not something I'd mess around with.

It's one thing to be cautiously skeptical, sure. It's another thing to become a full blown conspiracy theorist, just for the fun of it. Talk about calling a spade a spade, there's a point at which it becomes clear when someone is merely out to troll.

You've developed this weird obsession with my job and personal life, for whatever reason. It's fuucking creepy, dude.

Well, we're talking about basic radiative transfer physics here (in regards to the initiatial forcing via increasing CO^2) before any systematic feedbacks. The questions all involve the aforementioned feedbacks, whether they're of a constructive or destructive nature in relation to the initial forcing, and if/at what thresholds do these loops break and/or reinitiate/reorganize. Based on available paleo data and available satellite derived spectral observations, I happen to believe (as do many scientists much smarter than myself) that the nature of the feedbacks is destructive, rather than constructive, and quite significantly so. The problem is, when we model the atmosphere as we understand it, we almost always obtain a constructive feedback response, opposite of what the paleo data and most spectral observations suggest. So, we're missing something very important and honestly are nowhere close to figuring it out.

I agree with this. That said, I don't think saying "it's climate change" is helpful, because in reality, this is a form of "climate change" in of itself. As you noted, the climate system is incredibly complex and highly non-linear in nature. Abrupt, global scale swings in climate (in both directions) have been noted throughout the paleo records, some with possible explanations, some that correlate to potential forcings but lack physical explanations, and others that lack any physical explanations whatsoever. So it's difficult to do much except take note of the present day observations we have, and derive hypotheses thereafter.

If the offshore block had amplified poleward as the primary anticyclonic breaker, it could have delivered at that longitude (IMO). However, the Eurasian anticyclone broke poleward first, disrupting the PV and propagating into the polar domain. This prevented the NPAC anticyclone from breaking. Seems to be a trend in -ENSO winters w/ -QBOs outside solar minimum. They'll typically struggle to get that NPAC anticyclone to break past the zero wind line.

Sorry, I was referring to the PNW in particular, in regards to 850mb temperatures. The block itself was located too far east, which I believe was my argument at the time. The entire equator-to-pole complex was situated too far east, actually (IMO). http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/2AD2FA31-63D6-4702-AEDA-55DFA0D5E6F7_zpsulm6owos.png

Meanwhile, cities like Green Bay, WI are smashing records. I think we're going to have to look elsewhere, as the climate change/water vapor argument doesn't really explain any of these recent developments, at least not directly. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/2A1186AA-D400-4736-92E2-286CED583119_zpsfcyp00td.gif

Yeah, same downward trend(s) in Salt Lake City and Spokane WA as well. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/03E5EC62-EBDB-4955-8980-7FE8F7C91799_zpscklnqb0u.gif http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/93D35BDF-7700-4C32-A331-E9F882FE55F7_zpshar5zadf.gif

Then how do you explain the decline in snowfall in western cities like Grand Junction, CO? I think the observed, verifiable evidence points towards an ongoing shift in the climatological circulations across the hemisphere. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F70031A1-F01F-4D2A-8251-2BC66808EE56_zpslfajfqyl.gif

It's funny, the original theory was that climate change was putting more water in the air, hence more precipitation to fall in the form of snow, given temperatures are more than sufficiently cold for snowfall in these regions. However, this line of logic is starting to running thin, not just in the face of historic cold outbreaks and a southward propagation of the typical confluence zone, but also the fact that more southern cities are starting to cash in now, including Washington DC, Richmond, and Atlantic City. The more I look at everything, the more I suspect the dramatic climatological changes in the NATL Hadley Cell in recent years are to blame, or more specifically, the changes in the Pacific Hadley Cell(s) relative to the Atlantic Cell(s).