gosaints

The SREF shouldnt get much thought at this range. There is room for the EURO and GFS to come a little west/north based on the setup but think the short range models are overdoing that.

The EURO must have quite alot of taint around the lake....

chicago beatdown incoming....

Weird storm to track. GEFS is a holdout up here

There was exactly zero ice on the Mississippi backwaters in LA Crosse this morning. This is officially in the absurd category.

It puke snowed here from midnight to 2am last night. Ended with around 5.5 inches. 20 miles south got almost nothing.

On the cold side what a wildcard setup. The run to run changes on the HRRR are something

This is not a powerful closed off low at the 500 level. Most likely in for alot of sways in outcome up to the event.

You look to crush it through the month

5.5 inches. Beat my expctations

We all take turns posting it when it shows what we want. Part of the experience

The southeast ridge is quite strong.

Dry are intrusions are always a wildcard and you can really see it tomorrow. This first WAA wing looks relatively impressive

EURO lame. Hoping it is struggling with the energy off of the southwest coast.

The GFS got put on timeout

Gonna rest up today. See where the good meso sets up tonight and possibly chase it on the river road if needed.

The Euro is the king for a reason. Statistically a much more likely solution.

Almost always the case right? If this is the new decent I will be impressed.

Weenie run me thinks

Been awhile since I have peaked at the RGEM black and whites

I would hate to be getting paid to forecast the lead wave.

Because of this I think we see another model cycle before warnings/advisories go out for round 1

Be interested to see if they go warning/warning, advisory and the warning, or just one long warning in some of these areas

That's a gross amount of zr