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MKEstorm

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Everything posted by MKEstorm

  1. Ya, it will be hard to trust it after this for sure!
  2. Ya, another bump north would be nice!
  3. GFS stronger and north! Would like to see the Canadian and Euro do the same though. Usually when these Panhandle Hook storms get stronger, they go more north.
  4. Lots of moisture associated with this storm. Also, appears to be a classic Panhandle Hook type system. Something we haven't seen in quite some time.
  5. According to the 12z GFS, snow would begin here around daybreak on Wednesday and not end until until early Thursday morning!
  6. MKE being cautious and acknowledging all possibilities! https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MKX&issuedby=MKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
  7. KMKE is even talking lake effect snow possibilities! https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MKX&issuedby=MKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 [Quote]The main story with this event is the likelihood that it will be mostly, if not all, snow. Although surface temperatures may climb above freezing Sunday afternoon, steep low level lapse rates will likely mean only a very shallow layer of above freezing temperatures. This suggests mostly snow with maybe some rain mixing with any higher temperatures reaching into the upper 30s. These lapse rates being fairly steep could also indicate potential for some banding and more convective snow. The track is also notable with this event as recent models suggest the surface low could track right through southern Wisconsin, though there remains some uncertainty. This would likely bring northeast flow for at least a part of this event. Given lake temperatures in the low to mid 50s we could end up seeing lake to 850mb temperature differences in the 15-18 degree range. This would be plenty large enough for a period of lake enhancement to potentially bump snow totals along the shoreline and just inland. Overall snow totals are expected to be relatively light at this point, but if we see a bump in QPF amounts as mentioned earlier we could see those amounts increase as we get closer to the event. Highest amounts would likely be along the shoreline where lake enhancement would have the largest effect. There remain uncertainties in timing and track among other areas but the big picture is starting to become a bit clearer with this event.[Quote]
  8. I'm hoping the 18z GFS and Euro are trendsetters!
  9. I knew that being in the Euro's bullseye yesterday wasn't good! This needs to come back north a bit. But seeing that the Euro came more in line with the other models this run, I don't know. I guess I'll ride the Ukie for now
  10. I don't like being in the bullseye this far out
  11. Currently...heavy snow. Best rates and largest flakes of the season!
  12. Exactly! Not the hype like the other storms, but I think this one has more potential. I wanna see how this dry slot that MKE NWS has been advertising pans out in the morning. I guess that was the reason for the Advisory over Warning
  13. Four miles west of Mitchell Airport.
  14. Light snow falling now in southwest Milwaukee County.
  15. Not sure. I had a new coating on driveway this morning.
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