Hawkeye

The 12z euro is a punch to the gut for nw Iowa snow geeks.

Burgers and dogs here today as well. I dusted off the bicycle yesterday.

00z UK pushes the Wednesday/Thursday front all the way down to Oklahoma to Indy, would force the Friday system much farther south than other models.

We are 72 here in town, several degrees above the predicted high. The wind is modest as well, so it's just fantastic out there.

So today's GFS and GEM occlude the system and then pull it east/southeast across the region while the Euro maintains the hard cutter scenario. The Euro would keep 60s going for many of us through Friday.

The 60s will feel great. I may even get my bicycle out. However, I don't necessarily want an extended period of spring warmth that causes the daffodils to shoot up. It's too early for that. Heck, a few daffodil clumps already popped above the surface recently with just 50 degrees and sun. It doesn't take much to get them going.

Do we really need to fill another forum with this ? There must be somewhere else all the cool kids can go to tell each other how much JB sucks.

I'd love to see what the euro is showing for max surface temp on Monday. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017021312/ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_8.png

I'll have to be sure to watch the Weather Channel in the morning. The snow should really be dumping on NYC.

I wasn't expecting much, but a good band formed on the northern edge and passed through the CR to QC corridor, dropping a quick 1.1 inches in my yard. Of course, this was in the middle of the night so I didn't see it fall.

Mid 40s over here sw of the clipper track.

It's finally partly sunny over here after twelve days of thick clouds. And, it's dry, too, which is a nice change.

The initial heavier part of the backwash precip earlier this afternoon/evening was a bust, but after dark it cooled a bit and light snow piled up to 0.8 inches. That will probably be my January total.

And Mammoth has received more snow this January than the last six Januarys combined.

It continues to be pound town halfway between Sioux Falls and Sioux City. 8-10 inches has already fallen in that band and the snow should continue for another 18 hours.

The model avg/consensus has been locked into this system for a week, with very little shifting... unfortunately, for me.

Must be nice. Thick clouds, wet, 44 over here.

We've been cloudy and damp all week. Today we're stuck at 44.

Another 0.31" of rain today has me up to 1.59" of rain this month. The weather is very early March-like.

Winter '12-'13 we had only 5 inches through Jan 29th, half as much as the current crap winter. We ended up with 34 inches. It did nothing but snow from Feb 21st to Mar 25th.

Since I began recording snowfall ten years ago my lowest January snowfall has been 4.2 inches. The model trend suggests this January may end up with 0. The closest I've come to that was January 2013. That month I had nothing until 0.1" on January 20th, then nothing else until a 6.0" storm on Jan 30th. That winter went on to be very snowy after Feb 20th and didn't stop until late March.

I picked up 0.74" of rain from this system.

We got a glaze overnight, but pretty thin. The main surge of precip is moving in now, but the school weather stations in town are all just above 32.

0.29" of rain here.

I picked up 0.25" of rain last evening.