Brian_in_Leavenworth

It is about a 25 minute drive NW of Leavenworth. They get about 125 inches of snow. Very pretty area, and very close to Lake Wenatchee.

So many of the longer term models show warm anomalies over 80-90% of the world, which is not believable. That has been the case for a long time now.

It also shows heights and 850 temps and 2m temps to he slightly above normal. Basically we torch less than everywhere else.

Just read about a 20 degree drop in 25 minutes in Great Falls, Montana. Also seeing snowfall in Aspen. We were just there last week, as we went through several Colorado towns on our trip. Loved it, fall colors were great, especially in Crested Butte and in the Aspen area. I can see why so many people want to move there. I would have to win the lottery to move there, though I live in a great place now. We will be going back there for vacations though.

He didnt get into details about that. I think it was a tree native to the SE, but I could be wrong. He did say that it was a non native tree that they did not water. Dr. Mass does believe in AGW, but thinks there is a lot of sensationalism by the media and politicians that is just plain wrong. https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/05/seattle-times-climate-change-article-is.html?m=1

I dont think he or the other mets said it changed the 500mb pattern. They said that it warmed systems that came into the PNW. I live in snow country, and I am convinced they were right. The mets at the Spokane NWS repeatedly pointed out that the systems coming in were warmer than the models were showing, and warmer than what the pattern would indicate. They have a lot of experience with pattern recognition and these systems should have produced snow but did not. Temps were consistently a few degrees warmer than modeled and forecast. Made a difference in marginal snow situations. The next year the same patterns did produce snow and cooler weather, since the blob was gone, and we have had normal or a bit above normal snowfall ever since.

He had a post about a tree in the UW campus that had died. The Seattle Times blamed it on global warming. Mass pointed out that the temperature trends on the UW campus showed no warming during the Summer during the time the tree was at the U, though there was some warming during winter. It was a tree native to the SE U.S. and required a lot of water during Summer. It rains there a lot during the Summer as everyone knows. The UW did not water it during Summer, so it died. Native trees here are used to dry Summers, but trees native to the SE U.S. are used to very wet Summers. Cliff got a lot of hate mail and threats over that column, but he was right.

From Maue.

May is a good time to go to Stehekin, as the weather can be warm, and Rainbow Falls will be at its peak. Also a bit easier to get reservations. We rented bikes for $5 an hour, rode to the Falls, came back and had lunch at the bakery (as good as advertised). There are some lodging options, but the main one is the North Cascade Lodge. Decent food, though you can rent a room with a kitchen too. Great location. https://lodgeatstehekin.com/

Have you ever taken the ferry to Stehekin? I recommend it, especially if you can stay a few days. We also love Holden Village, more of a mountain experience.

And the winter where the blob was so warm, it did have a big affect on the temperatures and snow. Where I live, many times that winter the forecast was for snow, but instead we had 34-35 degrees rain or mixed rain and snow, and it seems every day the weather was warmer by several degrees than forecast. The forecasters at the NWS in Spokane remarked many times how systems were warmer than the models were showing and that they would have expected based on their experience, and they mentioned the "blob" was the cause.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/10/27/the-blob-has-dissipated/

The blob had dissipated by October 2016, and hopefully will this Fall too.

So you want to know what it is like to be in a category 5 hurricane? This video is insane. Watch on a big screen TV if you can.

Actually not, the apple crop is supposed to be 18% more than last year overall. From the same article: "In Eastern Washington, the spring and summer weather was favorable for growing apples you find in grocery stores. In fact, according to the Washington State Tree Fruit Association, the crop forecast is projected to be 137 million 40 pound boxes statewide. That’s an increase of more than 17 percent from the 2017-2018 season. You can find these apples in grocery stores in the next few months.

Ryan Maue, the voice of reason in this, had a good thread about it. I did not know the NHC has a 7 day cone that they do not show the public. Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 4h4 hours ago More Insane people: Extrapolating the NHC 5-day cone of Hurricane #Dorian is most definitely an impeachable offense. Normal people: yeah that's probably a reasonable extrapolation into Day 7. Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 4h4 hours ago More The NHC creates an internal 7-day forecast -- not for public consumption -- but will in future years. The huge 7-day cone would definitely be over Alabama for Hurricane #Dorian even though there was ~0% chance of a direct landfall. This will lead to further confusion. Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 3h3 hours ago More Maybe it's a good thing we don't issue 7-day forecasts yet. Had I advised the President on Wednesday evening, I'd probably have told him that #Dorian could cross the peninsula into the Gulf and end up in Alabama, sort of like the WPC 7-day surface prog. Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 2h2 hours ago More Thankfully, the acting NOAA admin Neil Jacobs was asked to personally brief the President with trusted, accurate information. The threat to Alabama quickly went to zero as new model data arrived. But, Trump's Tweet didn't reflect that new info. Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 2h2 hours ago More In summary, the "Alabama" Tweet was based upon stale information. The motivation was obviously to inform the public & update on Dorian. Nothing nefarious. Just admit it an move on, right? Nope. That's not how this works between media and Trump. More 31 replies 42 retweets 130

Clowney said he wanted to get away from the heat in Houston.

The blob seems to always be here during Summer, at least the last several years, but will likely go away in the Fall when the usual parade of storms causes a lot of upwelling.

"The recently reported eruption on 25 Aug alerting of an ash plume as high as 70,000 ft (21300 m) did not take place. There is no data (satellite-based, direct observations etc) to confirm an eruption of this magnitude. The report was based on an erroneous alert from the Anchorage VAAC. An eruption did take place, observed by a group of people staying nearby and who sent us images on social media, but it was "only" producing an ash column rising approx. 23,000 ft (7 km) - something not unusual for Shiveluch which has been having eruptions of this size for decades at irregular intervals." https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/shiveluch/news/86123/Shiveluch-volcano-Kamchatka-Russia-no-major-eruption-on-25-Aug-ash-plume-only-to-23000-and-not-70000.html

Watch our, Western Oregon and Western Washington, it says it will be wet . . . OR WORSE!!!

Central Washington = better than both Eastern and Western Washington.

Did you used to work at Kayak Point? Golfed there decades ago, very nice course. We do have underground irrigation, and yes it is very difficult even with professional maintenance to have every spot in the yard equally watered. And some places need more and some need less, etc. Still I love having it. Just program it and make a few changes throughout the seasons and go. But we do have to blow it out every Fall.

Dont know what he is basing this on, but . . Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi August into Sept going to be ugly cold for western and Central canada summer was short, Conversely the northeast once past the cool 10 days should be quite warm into September.. stretching back SW to Texas Central US, as usual may be where the cold holds in the means

I might have. I left last evening for NYC. Maybe I passed him somewhere.