BLI snowman

Sure, but tornado dynamics are actually a little more favorable the further north you go in FL. Given the better jet support and shear/helicity that exists in that corridor. Jacksonville is basically GA.

Tornadoes in FL really aren't that rare.

Eh. I like Rot In Pieces better.

RIP OJ

I read somewhere that last year was the final settling of our May 1962 debt. So we oughta be good to go now.

That's the start of our cold May. May-king up for last year's torchfest.

I think 1943-44 and 1944-45 were neutral as well (following a moderate Nina in 1942-43). Both were regionally awful. 2013-14 was our last classically neutral ENSO winter. As was 2012-13. The latter being another pretty lame winter.

Then there's 1980-81. Which was a giant, gaping asscrack of a winter.

They're really watering down the standards lately.

Before, during, and after. Phone definitely didn't come close to doing it justice. In Gilbert we had just over three minutes of totality. The stillness of the air as the sun got swallowed up had such a serene quality to it, perforated only with the chatter of crickets as they started singing their evening song. Majestic experience!

Crystal clear here in Gilbert, AR. Which is allegedly one of the coldest inhabited areas of the Natural State.

The annual mid August smokestorm will make for a cool effect. Assuming that there's any fuel left to burn by then.

That's my plan. Never been to that region before so it'll give me a chance to explore a little with the eclipse as a bonus.

I'm only taking a day off work so just not quite worth it with the time it would take to get out there between flying and driving a rental car up north of Bangor. MO/AR/TX was a little more accessible.

Yeah I'm aiming for north central AR. Maybe Clinton area. Staying in Springfield, MO so it'll be a bit of a drive but my old Hilton discount is getting me a $50 room there so it's well worth it.

Actually has been a historically decent indicator of a reasonable or cool summer. You could also toss in the early June 1955 heatwave which produced Seattle's earliest triple Ds on record. That mini-correlation would probably cease to be relevant in today's base state, though.

2043.

That's the area that I'm targeting. Got a hotel room for cheap in Springfield, MO outside of the path of totality but anything that looks promising within a 4 hour drive is going to be my range. May pivot more towards Poplar Bluff/Cape Girardeau areas depending on conditions.

Classic spring crash coming on Wednesday. Been awhile since we've seen a really dynamic spring with lots of warm up/cool down theatrics. Lately it's been stuck pattern followed by stuck pattern.

When BSF becomes NSBSF

Still way way too far out to have any reliable idea.

The Mt. St. Helens eruption, although obviously on a much bigger scale, created a similar effect with the sound waves traveling outward and was even heard hundreds of miles away in ID and BC and broke windows in Oak Harbor. But the topography and temperature changes closer to the mountain may have limited the sound wave propagation for nearby places where the eruption produced no sound. A little before my time but I don't think we were able to hear it in Clark County. https://stylusradio.org/post/80549530367/the-sound-or-silence-of-an-erupting-volcano-on

Weak to moderate event seems the most likely outcome. Always are a few ENSO models that go off the deep end at this time of the year with any event.

Today marks the 10 year anniversary of the Oso landslide. Looks like they are dedicating a permanent memorial at the site today. https://komonews.com/news/local/oso-snohomish-county-marks-10-year-anniversary-of-deadly-oso-landslide-with-new-memorial-strong-oso-landslide-deadly-snohomish-county-state-route-530-stillaguamish-river-memorial-site-washington-state-department-natural-resources

Gonna be getting happy @SilverFallsAndrew for a couple of hours at least.