Just to follow up with what I had said the other day, here is the 72 hour precipitation. I know there is still some ongoing, but this is probably pretty close to what it'll be. And what do you know, WPC precip was way over the top. I had said you can normally cut their precip in half and get pretty close to the truth, and that seems to be the case here as well

Models are still all over the place, but are starting narrow in more on the idea of ingesting some of the tropical moisture into the cut off low that will be in my vicinity Wednesday onwards. It could still be that we don't see much rain, but I would say I think its more likely than not that we get something Friday-ish. Some models show very heavy totals but we will see.

Need Another Model

Wife's best friend lives in Tampa. The family moved from Camano around 2006 or 2007 when they had to sell their house or some property in FL due to the looming recession. Her parents still live in Hernando Beach right on the gulf. They had some pretty wild water damage on that first hurricane that hit FL after a record streak that lasted like 10 years. A pretty weak one, just Cat 1 or 2 but came close. I think they did okay wirh Irma though. She isn't on the water now. She's used to hurricanes but not snow and was here when we had a few inches on the ground.

Yeah the NAM always seems to overdo cyclogenesis.