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We still have 9 1/2 days until Christmas Eve for the models to become more favorable. I rule out nothing.

You would still get a good sized trough, as the block maxes out at 585dm. Dec 2021 is a pretty good analog if it were further east.

Strictly speaking if the block were further east, heights wouldn't be as low due to less arctic air spilling out over the ocean and bombing out into a massive low. Sometimes, on the other side, the grass is browner.

Nothing until it reorganizes and pivots sliding eastward.