This actually looks pretty awesome. Above average in the NE, https://climatology.nelson.wisc.edu/wisconsin-historic-climate-data/long-term-annual-variability/ statewide average for Wisconsin was only 1.6in below normal. The jet stream looks ready to dump on the UP too. I'm actually kind of optimistic.
All it takes is just ONE Tropical Hit and PHX will end up towards normal or even AN in terms of the Monsoon precip averages. Starting to see some ensemble guidance and lone operational runs of a potential Labor Day weekend storm curving up this way???
Last winter wasn't that bad. Four different modified arctic intrusions. Glad that other places learned what a rug pull is after Seattle kept on taking it for several winters before while they get several feet. It happens.