BhamMe

Agree!

23 degrees just north of downtown Bellingham this morning and absolutely no wind.

The Northeaster switch has been flipped on in Bellingham. Presently winds 5-7 mph with gusts to 14. Just started an hour or so ago.

Had a brief two minutes of hail in Bellingham at 1:30 this morning. Enough tapping on the window glass to wake me up.

Timbits are a must on the way to the ski resort!

My Steve Pool story. Back in 2004 I lived on Capital Hill in Seattle. I was in the checkout line at the old Safeway on Broadway Ave. I was third or so in line, turned around to look at something behind me and when I turned back around to face forward, Steve was in front of me. He looked back and me and said "Oh, were you in line? I said yes, actually that's why I'm standing here, he then turned his back to me and just stayed in line. No apology, nothing, just cut in front of me, acknowledged his cutting and left me hanging.

Hasn't Jim Forman's yellow jacket been retired?

Can you pull moisture up to the Kelowna area for next week while you're up there? Big White needs snow.

The Weather Network updated their forecast for winter via video this morning. Calling for cold across most of the Canadian prairies "polar vortex" with the best chance for west coast snow (aka BC) in February. Very similar to last years patter I guess.

I passed you as I was headed from Bellingham to Woodinville. Can agree...raining really hard, especially Stanwood.

So as I read this, somewhere around 40+" near Big White ski resort, an hour East of Kelowna Canada about 5500 ft up?

Did he do that last Feb?

Cliff Mass calling for basically a neutral "situation" for this winter with the next 46 days being wetter and slightly warmer than normal through November 1, thanks in part to the "blob" that appears to be dissipating. https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-weather-outlook-for-rest-of-fall.html

The weather folks at KOMO 4 in Seattle, posted this today. https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/noaa-odds-of-el-nino-less-winter-increase NOAA: Odds of El Niño-less winter increase SEATTLE -- 2019's version of El Niño officially died last month, and now forecasters say the odds of it potentially coming back for this fall and/or winter are even less than they were then. The Climate Prediction Center now gives a 75% chance that we will stay in neutral conditions -- essentially meaning near-normal water temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean -- through the fall, with around a 55-60% chance we'll stay that way through the winter. El Niño now has just under a 30% chance of returning, with odds of a flip to the cooler La Niña conditions hanging around 13-14%. Neutral winters are challenging in the sense that they don't present any steady historical patterns of which to base a good long range forecast like El Niño (warm/dry) and La Niña (cool/wet). Historically speaking, neutral years tend to bring more frequent strong flooding events. Neutral years have a good news/bad news relationship with windstorms as strong wind events tend to be most frequent in La Niña years for most spots, but neutral years tend to have the strongest storms. For those eager to hear about lowland snow, neutral years don't really provide much of a clue as past neutral winters have run the gamut. If the new Blob sticks around, that would hurt snow chances but the Old Farmer's Almanac says look out, snow. So... lots of ways that could go. Mountain snowpack also tends to range quite a bit but we would expect it to be within 20 percent either above or below normal.

Goodness the Canadian border area looks wet, dryer toward Bellingham. I better get my run in ASAP!

Not science but an interesting take on the 2019/2020 winter from the Farmers Almanac for the NW. Lines up with what people have said here about a snowy winter. "The 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac is calling for frequent snow events—from flurries to no fewer than seven big snowstorms, including two in April for the Intermountain region west of the Rockies. This snow-verload will include storms pummeling Washington state and points eastward across the northern-tier states into Michigan. For the Northwest, this could mean a repeat of last winter’s Snowpocalypse that dumped 20.2 inches on Seattle in February."

10 day for the lower mainland of BC, upper 60's to low 70's most days with some persistent clouds. Summer appears to be winding down.

Bellingham is wonderful today. 75 and clear as a bell.

So do you see a continued weakening of El Nino still?

Scott Sistek of KOMO Seattle, just posted an update that the current El Nino cycle is dying off and we're headed for a 62% chance of a "neutral" fall and winter in the NW. https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/el-nino-on-its-last-legs-gone-before-autumn Note forecast continue to lean toward a neutral fall and winter too -- though a return of El Nino is not out of the question and holds a decent second place in the betting odds. La Niña appears to be biding its time, through in the typical cycle of these things, we'd probably expect La Niña to return in the winter of 20-21 or 21-22.

Question for those in the upper NW. My father always tells me that when it's been dry like this heading into summer, we have to make up the lack of rain at some point. My gut says we get an early and wet winter. Thoughts on the board about this coming winter?

Spent the weekend skiing up at Big White, an hour East of Kelowna, BC. 14" in 24 hours, which for that far East was a lot of snow. Locals called in the best skiing conditions in four or five years. Super dry powder with temps in the teens.

I'm off to Big White, BC for some skiing over the next few days. Some light flurries the Friday into Saturday and cool, somewhere around -13 C on average. I'll see if I can get a big fan and blow some cold air down to Portland for all.

Used a break in the weather to go for a beautiful run in the Bellingham sun. Only needed two long sleeve shirts and tights.

#EPIC!!!