New polling shows Lake is running way behind Trump in Arizona. Trump is +5 against Harris while Gallego is +6 against Lake. Why she didn't get the picture the voters painted after her gubernatorial loss is a little beyond me. Apparently to her losing means the voters actually want to see you run and lose again.

Oh.

Ya they were over the top, I'm currently at 1.73 inches along ways from the 3 to 4 shown on their map.

Just to follow up with what I had said the other day, here is the 72 hour precipitation. I know there is still some ongoing, but this is probably pretty close to what it'll be. And what do you know, WPC precip was way over the top. I had said you can normally cut their precip in half and get pretty close to the truth, and that seems to be the case here as well

Models are still all over the place, but are starting narrow in more on the idea of ingesting some of the tropical moisture into the cut off low that will be in my vicinity Wednesday onwards. It could still be that we don't see much rain, but I would say I think its more likely than not that we get something Friday-ish. Some models show very heavy totals but we will see.