For early next week the forecast has trended towards warmer and drier in the southern Plains. Here is what we had 24 hours ago:
There is more of a wavebreaking look in the GOA now which anchors the lowest heights offshore instead of spreading inland. This then pumps up a ridge in the middle of the country. These kinds of forecasts can swing a lot given the relative data void over the pole where a lot of this is going on...but not ideal to see. This trend is consistent across the models.
GFS has been waffling around a lot with the STJ in the middle and long range. Lots of back and forth between the latitudinal position of our blocking high in the NE Pacific. Guess it makes sense with the milquetoast ENSO