FWIW, GEFS doesn't look great here. EPS is slightly better, but not any better with the NYE system specifically. Basically the only model that has me getting respectable totals out of this is op GFS.

Models definitely have a NYE storm. Who actually gets the storm is a different story. Some models have it up here, other models have it in Missouri. This is my last chance for a CO low probably until February, so I definitely hope it hits me. We've had brown, cold Januarys before (actually more often than not recently) and they're worthless.

0.5" of snow so far here in East Nantmeal and still snowing lightly - Merry Christmas to all!

Some December 24 weather history for southern Lower Michigan. 1993: A Christmas Eve snowstorm drops from 3 to 8 inches of snow across Lower Michigan and ushers in several weeks of severe winter weather 2017, a storm strengthened and pulled in cold air as it moved from west to east across the area. Snow totals ranged from 2-4″ west of US-23 to 4-7″ to the east. Peak measurements of 6.1″ and 6.8″ were made in Macomb County. 1983, was a very cold day across Southeast Michigan. Detroit only had a high temperature of 3 degrees above zero, and the low was 9 degrees below zero. Flint and Saginaw were not much warmer with respective highs of 6 and 7 degrees, and lows of 5 below and 3 below zero. December 1983 was the 5th coldest December for Detroit and Flint, and it was the 3rd coldest December for Saginaw.