If any of you follow BAM Weather on X, it’s been fascinating. They have been riding the GFS for this storm over the Euro (I think they are out of Indy). Well many have been questioning their forecast. They don’t seem to like being questioned. They just posted how the Euro is caving to the GFS as they’ve said all along. I’ve just found the passionate arguments so interesting
Yet another post...lol!! I just looked at the AI run. I would say it's trying to latch onto something but again it doesn't know how much cold air is coming YET but it is showing something similar to the GFS
Sorry, I needed to get some sleep so I missed all the later fun. I have read some of the posts and I'm guessing everyone thinks because the operational Euro run didn't really show what the GFS model did that we won't be having cold weather. I need to remind everyone that sometimes one model will latch onto something that the other model hasn't YET. I believe that's what the GFS is doing right now and the Euro will latch onto it too. I've seen this so many times. Either the GFS will first or the Euro will but eventually both will show it. I've also seen both take it away only to bring it back a couple days later. Cold air is very finicky.
If you look at the charts, the operational Euro and GFS show a little positive trend but the EPS and GEFS are showing a negative trend. I believe the operational runs are having a difficult time trying to plot where the cold air will go and how much we will get.
I still believe there will be a pattern change to cooler weather. At this time, I don't know how much cold air we will get but we will as we get closer to the event