My county got added to the winter advisory in KC area, could be up to two inches to add to some of our still snow packed roads.

Looks somewhat better for ridge support with the AL cutting off further south and higher heights over the Bering Sea. Also the cutoff over the northern plains can't hurt compared with a broad open Arctic-eating trough across the east. It's very close to torching the Great Lakes, which feels like the only way we'll get any Arctic airmass to cross the Rockies.

Another bad GFS run

IMO I think it's great. Pattern sets up during the timeframe we've been tracking too. And like Rob said it sets up in the beliveable range. I'd say after that, anything is on the table. It also looks to reload at the end.