Pretty significant North shift on all models overnight, bringing dry air to a lot of the storm and highest totals in Canada.

Global models look mostly the same. 3km NAM showing a little boost on totals down south.

I'm going to bed. Good night brothers. We're all going through the same shit right now. Well except Tim. Congrats, I guess, he's having the time of his life in the sun, happy someone's enjoying the slog. Hopefully something changes.

For 47.8°N this is pretty dreadful. Only Quimper, France has it worse at sea level for this latitude temperature-wise, and they don't have an Olympic rainshadow. Or a four corners high. Just a fully committal Oceanic climate with occasional continental outbursts of extreme weather from the south and east, and complete exposure to the Atlantic and all the thermal forces of the Gulf Stream. Imagine a climate that actually had weather. Weather that wasn't blocked, shunted, filtered, neutered, split, weakened, or outright destroyed before reaching the back door. Imagine actually experiencing sharp temperature shifts more than once a decade. Or any variation at all.

EAX this morning MESSAGES... - Significantly increased chances for snow late Thursday into Friday across the area. Highest snow totals are expected to range from 1-3 inches mainly for counties south of I-70. - Near-freezing high temperatures expected today; roughly 8-15 degrees warmer than yesterday. - Slight chance for snow flurries Sunday mainly for counties close to the MO/IA border. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 322 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2025 The surface high that has been the main driver of our weather over the past couple of days has shifted to the southeast of our area orienting our winds out of the south while keeping them fairly light. Southerly winds and limited cloud cover will result in warmer temperatures with highs today expected to hover around the mid 30s across the area (which is 8-15 degrees warmer than yesterday). Our focus then shifts to an elongated trough extending from Manitoba down into Baja California. A stagnant cut-off low over Baja California is expected to re-enter the flow with the help of the elongated trough tracking to the east-northeast. As a result, a surface low will develop over eastern TX during the day today and move to the northeast over the southeast US. Increased moisture transport and broadscale lift associated with the system will result in a very likely chance (85%-95%) for snowfall mainly for southern regions of our forecast area. A winter weather advisory has been issued for counties along and south of I-70 and will be in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to 9 AM Friday. Snow accumulations for counties south of I-70 are expected to range from 1-3 inches with areas further south of I-70 seeing the higher end of that range. Areas along and north of I-70 will likely see a dusting to 1 inch. Model trends have been increasing snow totals as we near the event. I would not be surprised if areas along I-70 see pockets of 2-3 inch snowfalls. There may be a few patches of freezing drizzle if we can get drier air in the DGZ and more saturation near the surface, however, chances seem to be decreasing with each newer model run. The potential impacts of this event are increased due to the recent snowfall and persistently cold temperatures still in place across most of the area further exaggerating hazards. High temperatures for Friday remain near freezing across the area with low temperatures ranging from the single digits into the mid teens.