00z EPS was tantalizingly close to a full on blast. The other ensembles aren't bad. I guess I'd say I have low-medium confidence the ridge will hold and not float away too far north in latitude. IF by some chance models come around to a beefier block look out! Cautiously optimistic. C'MON!!!! Night Shift 6z GFS on 1 hour

He needs to chill especially after the windstorm bust.

damn, Michael

50F and drizzle here. 0.03” of rain on the day.

Hope so