Models can change quite quickly this time of year and the 0z GFS did just that overnight. It's day 10 but at least it's something.

This is not good for what will be future Hurricane Milton. @tropicalupdate Follow First run of Hurricane models on http://tropicaltidbits.com. Not a forecast. These are right more than wrong with intensity. Tracks are usually close. Impacts could be significant if these verify. Not just coastal but inland towards the east coast too. Lots to watch with Invest 92.

Absolutely beautiful here in the Fraser valley the next few days. It’s a gentle warmth this time of year. Love it.

I’ve posted the Bee & The Onion multiple times. I’ve been self-abasing about supporting Trump. You must have me mistaken for someone else. Humour? Best you can muster is SNL. They have their moments, but they’ve largely lost their way. (Dana Carvey’s Biden is great). Same with the Onion. I don’t change my mind easily. So no, my political affiliations don’t oscillate. That is “rigid” but so what? I’m grounded. You speak as though I don’t know that about myself. 20 years ago, I was hardcore neo-con. Now, probably 3/4 paleo-conservative. But I recognize we don’t exist in extreme isolation/localism, so there are shades of the neo-conservative from 20 years ago. (But you can take both Cheneys). I didn’t make a full pendulum swing like Tucker Carlson to radical isolationism when I changed that value. It’s who can fit under the tent that I’ve change positions on. That’s due to the support I’ve seen Trump and Poilievre here in Canada garner from a wide range of people. I recognize now what I didn’t then 20-some years ago: you need a big tent to win. Politics isn’t professing swooning, undivided loyalty. It’s chess, a series of strategies. That means I lock arms with RFK and Gabbard on many issues, strongly differ on others. I’ve posted here about moderate Democrats dropping the party due to the Dems diving headlong into the trans cult, the DEI garbage, crime & illegal immigration, and how they’re no longer the party of the working class. These are the issues you ardently defend or flippantly brush off. But that is why a substantial portion of those slightly left-of-centre have left the party—including a sizeable portion of blacks and Latinos. For all your ravings about all Trump supporters being cultic, Trump lives in your head rent-free to an extent you fail to see that Trump has quietly occupied the centre. You can’t acknowledge that. Whatever the outcome of the election, Vance is poised to be the future of the Republicans. And he will with precision occupy the centre. Many “never Trumpers” will be shocked to learn how centrist the Republicans are and how radical the Democrats are when Trump is gone and he’s not living in their heads anymore. Polls will reflect that in a couple years if Trump loses this election. Actually, perhaps the awakening has begun with Gordon Sondland realizing what garbage the Dems are under Biden/Harris. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13922095/amp/msnbc-host-ari-melber-stunned-impeachment-witness-gordon-sondland-endorse-trump.html

Fantastic analysis. Multiple topics on the candidates covered, including the future of the parties. It wasn’t Trump-centric conversation.