Your New Years eve storm is being picked up well on the EPS ensembles. I'm looking for something down my way between the 3rd and 5th. EPS for New Years eve timeframe.

That's beautiful enjoy the white Christmas.

Model agreement on a pattern change 1st weekend of January. Below normal, but nothing memorable. Regardless, I’ll take it.

Some weather history for southern lower Michigan for December 22. 1957: Balmy weather prevails with highs in the mid-50s. Muskegon sets a record high of 55 degrees. 2000: A long siege of arctic air and lake effect snow continues across Lower Michigan. The high temperature at Lansing is only 9 degrees with lake-effect snow showers swirling. It will be the coldest December of the 20th century at Lansing. 2013, an ice storm impacted locations from the northern Detroit suburbs to the Saginaw area as significant moisture became entrained along a frontal boundary. Widespread ice accretions of 0.5 to 0.75 inches were reported and numerous trees and power lines were downed. The ice storm even prompted Shiawassee County to declare a state of emergency due to unsafe traveling conditions. Further south, the precipitation fell as heavy rain while Bay, Midland, and Huron counties saw 2 to 4 inches of snow. 1872, the temperature dropped to -24 degrees overnight in Detroit. This temperature reading is unofficially the lowest temperature ever recorded in the city of Detroit.

Night Shift 6z GEFS. Moses Lake 850s. Coldest run yet I believe. The mean temp is down to almost -7c with a large cluster of cold members. There are still some warm members which are skewing the mean from going even colder, but overall this is decent progress in the right direction signaling a pattern change beginning around roughly New Year's Eve.