EPS was a bit colder than the 12z.

360hr 0z EPS

I don't know man.. it works a good majority of the time. Might be 2nd or 3rd tier, but it's better than saying "tropical 850mb is.., OLR is.., etc.)

AAM has been pretty neutral

The warming subsurface is a result of the downwelling phase of an eastward propagating oceanic kelvin wave, it’s not propagating into the middle latitudes. The tropical convection coupled to the broadening IPWP as well as the poleward transfer of previously deposited AAM (typical at this stage) is responsible for the +TNH/+PNA.