I think his post was mostly correct - this is outside prime-time TOR season for Michigan. I'm not as much of a severe hound as I was in my younger days so perhaps there's been some I'm not remembering but nothing stands out in my memory in the way of sig March twisters, especially this early and your post noting the rare damage next to a mostly frozen lake really makes that point.

70F and sunny. Beautiful cool summer day.

New El Nino starts impact the N. Pacific much more in April vs March SOI was +30 today.. so old ENSO state is holding on for now

SW Fort Worth picked up .50” rain today. Currently 47*. Feels like 42*.

#Itstoosoon.